SimpleFunctions
Winner-take-all · 7 outcomes7 contractsPolymarketrefreshed 3 h agoCloses May 9, 2026 · 0d

Gwangju FC vs. Gangwon FC - More Markets

Leader sits at 71% across 7 bound outcomes, runner-up at 46%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.

Leader probability

71%

O/U 1.5

runner-up 46¢leader 71¢

Outcomes

7

winner-take-all

Runner-up

46¢

O/U 2.5

Spread

25pp

contested

24h volume

$631

thin orderbook

Closes

May 9, 2026

0 days

Venue

Polymarket

7 bound

30-day trend

0%50%100%-30d-3w-2w-1wtodayO/U 1.5: 71% (3 days, 2 points)O/U 1.5: 71% on 2026-05-07O/U 2.5: 45% (3 days, 3 points)O/U 2.5: 45% on 2026-05-08Gangwon FC (-1.5): 42% (3 days, 3 points)Gangwon FC (-1.5): 42% on 2026-05-08
O/U 1.571¢O/U 2.545¢Gangwon FC (-1.5)42¢
Top 3 candidates by current price · 3d

Bracket family

How the bracket ladder is priced.

Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.

Recently closed in general

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

More like this

Adjacent prediction questions.

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 3 h ago.