Hamarkameratene vs. Vålerenga Fotball - More Markets
Leader sits at 82% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 63%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
9
winner-take-all
Runner-up
63¢
Both Teams to Score
Spread
19pp
contested
24h volume
$85
thin orderbook
Closes
May 8, 2026
0 days
Venue
Polymarket
9 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Hamarkameratene vs. Vålerenga Fotball - More Markets
Hamarkameratene vs. Vålerenga Fotball - More Markets: Vålerenga Fotball (-2.5)
0x04f419…ae3a
Hamarkameratene vs. Vålerenga Fotball - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xa37d0a…33a7
Hamarkameratene vs. Vålerenga Fotball - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xd613b9…ed8a
Hamarkameratene vs. Vålerenga Fotball - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xf9164c…3e73
Hamarkameratene vs. Vålerenga Fotball - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x8fd277…ecee
Hamarkameratene vs. Vålerenga Fotball - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x1fdbf0…7bca
Hamarkameratene vs. Vålerenga Fotball - More Markets: Hamarkameratene (-2.5)
0xce262a…1ff4
Hamarkameratene vs. Vålerenga Fotball - More Markets: Vålerenga Fotball (-1.5)
0xcff89f…5a6f
Hamarkameratene vs. Vålerenga Fotball - More Markets: Hamarkameratene (-1.5)
0xe20839…90da
Analysis
This market tracks the probability that both Hamarkameratene and Vålerenga Fotball will score in their upcoming match, currently priced at 52% on Polymarket. Both teams to score outcomes depend on offensive output, defensive vulnerabilities, and tactical setup. The current pricing reflects moderate confidence in a goal-heavy result, compared to lower probabilities assigned to specific handicap outcomes (-1.5 and -2.5 favoring Hamarkameratene). The primary catalyst resolving this market will be the actual match result, which will determine whether both teams find the net. Key drivers include each team's recent scoring form, defensive consistency, head-to-head history, and any lineup changes or injuries announced before kickoff.
- ›Recent goal differential and scoring rates for both Hamarkameratene and Vålerenga across their last 5-10 competitive matches
- ›Defensive record: goals conceded per match by each side, including home/away splits if applicable
- ›Head-to-head historical data showing frequency of both-teams-to-score outcomes in prior meetings
- ›Confirmed team lineups and injury status, particularly for key attacking and defensive players
- ›Match context: league table position, motivation level (title race, relegation battle, or mid-table fixture), and any tactical adjustments announced by either manager
What moved the line
- May 7Hamarkameratene (-2.5)↓7pp15→8¢ · Polymarket
- May 7Hamarkameratene (-1.5)↓5pp20→15¢ · Polymarket
- May 7Vålerenga Fotball (-1.5)↓4pp21→17¢ · Polymarket
- May 8Vålerenga Fotball (-2.5)↑3pp7→10¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 1 d ago.