SimpleFunctions
Winner-take-all · 9 outcomes9 contractsPolymarketrefreshed 1 d agoCloses May 8, 2026 · 0d

Hamarkameratene vs. Vålerenga Fotball - More Markets

Leader sits at 82% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 63%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.

Leader probability

82%

O/U 1.5

runner-up 63¢leader 82¢

Outcomes

9

winner-take-all

Runner-up

63¢

Both Teams to Score

Spread

19pp

contested

24h volume

$85

thin orderbook

Closes

May 8, 2026

0 days

Venue

Polymarket

9 bound

30-day trend

0%50%100%-30d-3w-2w-1wtodayO/U 1.5: 82% (3 days, 2 points)O/U 1.5: 82% on 2026-05-08Both Teams to Score: 62% (3 days, 3 points)Both Teams to Score: 62% on 2026-05-08O/U 2.5: 60% (3 days, 3 points)O/U 2.5: 60% on 2026-05-08
O/U 1.582¢Both Teams to Score62¢O/U 2.560¢
Top 3 candidates by current price · 3d

Bracket family

How the bracket ladder is priced.

Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.

Analysis

This market tracks the probability that both Hamarkameratene and Vålerenga Fotball will score in their upcoming match, currently priced at 52% on Polymarket. Both teams to score outcomes depend on offensive output, defensive vulnerabilities, and tactical setup. The current pricing reflects moderate confidence in a goal-heavy result, compared to lower probabilities assigned to specific handicap outcomes (-1.5 and -2.5 favoring Hamarkameratene). The primary catalyst resolving this market will be the actual match result, which will determine whether both teams find the net. Key drivers include each team's recent scoring form, defensive consistency, head-to-head history, and any lineup changes or injuries announced before kickoff.

  • Recent goal differential and scoring rates for both Hamarkameratene and Vålerenga across their last 5-10 competitive matches
  • Defensive record: goals conceded per match by each side, including home/away splits if applicable
  • Head-to-head historical data showing frequency of both-teams-to-score outcomes in prior meetings
  • Confirmed team lineups and injury status, particularly for key attacking and defensive players
  • Match context: league table position, motivation level (title race, relegation battle, or mid-table fixture), and any tactical adjustments announced by either manager

What moved the line

  • May 7Hamarkameratene (-2.5)7pp158¢ · Polymarket
  • May 7Hamarkameratene (-1.5)5pp2015¢ · Polymarket
  • May 7Vålerenga Fotball (-1.5)4pp2117¢ · Polymarket
  • May 8Vålerenga Fotball (-2.5)3pp710¢ · Polymarket

Recently closed in general

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

More like this

Adjacent prediction questions.

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 1 d ago.