Winner-take-all · 8 outcomes8 contractsKalshirefreshed 16 h agoCloses May 8, 2026 · 0d

HYPE price on Apr 23, 2026

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Leader sits at 12% across 8 bound outcomes, runner-up at 12%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.

Leader probability

12%

$27 or above

0¢runner-up 12¢leader 12¢

Outcomes

winner-take-all

Runner-up

12¢

$28 or above

Spread

0pp

contested

24h volume

thin orderbook

Closes

May 8, 2026

0 days

Venue

Kalshi

8 bound

Top contract →Read as answer

30-day trend

$27 or above6¢$28 or above6¢$29 or above6¢

Top 3 candidates by current price · 2d

Bracket family

How the bracket ladder is priced.

Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.

Cluster 1

hype price on may 8, 2026

8 contracts$0

OutcomePrice24hVolumeVenueDetail

HYPE price on May 8, 2026?: $27 or above

KXHYPED-26MAY0817-T26.9999

12¢+3pp$0K→

HYPE price on May 8, 2026?: $34 or above

KXHYPED-26MAY0817-T33.9999

12¢+3pp$0K→

HYPE price on May 8, 2026?: $33 or above

KXHYPED-26MAY0817-T32.9999

12¢+3pp$0K→

HYPE price on May 8, 2026?: $32 or above

KXHYPED-26MAY0817-T31.9999

12¢+3pp$0K→

HYPE price on May 8, 2026?: $31 or above

KXHYPED-26MAY0817-T30.9999

12¢+3pp$0K→

HYPE price on May 8, 2026?: $30 or above

KXHYPED-26MAY0817-T29.9999

12¢+3pp$0K→

HYPE price on May 8, 2026?: $29 or above

KXHYPED-26MAY0817-T28.9999

12¢+3pp$0K→

HYPE price on May 8, 2026?: $28 or above

KXHYPED-26MAY0817-T27.9999

12¢+3pp$0K→

What moved the line

May 8$27 or above↑3pp3→6¢ · Kalshi
May 8$28 or above↑3pp3→6¢ · Kalshi
May 8$29 or above↑3pp3→6¢ · Kalshi
May 8$30 or above↑3pp3→6¢ · Kalshi
May 8$31 or above↑3pp3→6¢ · Kalshi

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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 16 h ago.

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