Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets
Leader sits at 65% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 52%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
9
winner-take-all
Runner-up
52¢
O/U 2.5
Spread
13pp
contested
24h volume
$0
thin orderbook
Closes
May 12, 2026
3 days
Venue
Polymarket
9 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets
Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xc23b6b…3c92
Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xa08a39…9769
Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x3dbe28…7d34
Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets: Pohang Steelers FC (-2.5)
0xce33f4…bf91
Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets: Incheon United FC (-2.5)
0xe98118…aca2
Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets: Pohang Steelers FC (-1.5)
0x60b12a…dcf7
Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets: Incheon United FC (-1.5)
0xcb6f15…22c6
Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xeb90c8…65bf
Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x15af2d…0410
Analysis
This market estimates a 50% probability that both Incheon United FC and Pohang Steelers FC score at least one goal each in their matchup. The contract pricing reflects moderate uncertainty about offensive performance from both teams, with the runner-up outcome (Incheon United at -1.5 goals) priced at 33%, suggesting traders view Incheon as slight favorites defensively. The outcome depends on team form, defensive vulnerabilities, and tactical approach—factors that typically shift with recent match results, injury status, and head-to-head history. The resolution occurs after the match concludes, making recent offensive and defensive statistics from both squads the primary drivers of current pricing. Thin trading volume ($0 over 24 hours) indicates limited market liquidity and potentially wider bid-ask spreads, which may not reflect the true consensus among frequent bettors.
- ›Incheon United and Pohang Steelers' combined expected goals (xG) in their last 3-5 matches relative to their season averages
- ›Defensive records: goals conceded per match for each team and whether key defenders or goalkeepers are unavailable
- ›Head-to-head scoring patterns in previous meetings between these two clubs
- ›Current league position and offensive output trends for both teams in the weeks leading up to match day
- ›Match venue (home/away split) and any tactical adjustments either team has recently implemented
What moved the line
- May 8Pohang Steelers FC (-1.5)↓3pp32→29¢ · Polymarket
- May 8Incheon United FC (-2.5)↑3pp25→28¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 6 min ago.