Independiente Santa Fe vs. CD La Equidad Seguros - More Markets: CD La Equidad Seguros (-1.5)
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 25% across 18 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
25%
18 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$67K
18 contracts
Closes
May 7, 2026
0 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 18 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 13% of their title tokens — “CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC - More Markets” vs “Independiente Santa Fe vs. SC Corinthians Paulista”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC - More Markets
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x735342…ad9d
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x9ff78c…90df
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xd8a7d5…4976
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x8b09a6…fc9e
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC - More Markets: Fluminense FC (-2.5)
0xff496f…1114
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC - More Markets: CS Independiente Rivadavia (-1.5)
0x43d406…e39b
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC - More Markets: Fluminense FC (-1.5)
0x5fff26…3c5a
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC - More Markets: CS Independiente Rivadavia (-2.5)
0x4fe614…7662
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xb4cd80…04dc
Cluster 2
Independiente Santa Fe vs. SC Corinthians Paulista
Independiente Santa Fe vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: SC Corinthians Paulista
0xb8cbca…69e4
Independiente Santa Fe vs. SC Corinthians Paulista - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x5735da…8821
Independiente Santa Fe vs. SC Corinthians Paulista - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x96cfcd…1513
Independiente Santa Fe vs. SC Corinthians Paulista - More Markets: Independiente Santa Fe (-1.5)
0x559461…3557
Independiente Santa Fe vs. SC Corinthians Paulista - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xd128a4…33d7
Independiente Santa Fe vs. SC Corinthians Paulista - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x65835d…d417
Independiente Santa Fe vs. SC Corinthians Paulista - More Markets: SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5)
0xd92e3c…28a1
Independiente Santa Fe vs. SC Corinthians Paulista - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x13712f…25b6
Independiente Santa Fe vs. SC Corinthians Paulista - More Markets: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)
0x71f745…44e7
What moved the line
- May 7O/U 1.5↓24pp67→43¢ · Polymarket
- May 7O/U 2.5↓21pp35→14¢ · Polymarket
- May 7O/U 2.5↓20pp40→20¢ · Polymarket
- May 7SC Corinthians Paulista↓18pp37→19¢ · Polymarket
- May 7O/U 1.5↓17pp62→45¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 2 d ago.