Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Bnei Herzliya Basket Winner
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 19% across 20 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
19%
20 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$0
20 contracts
Closes
May 24, 2026
16 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
9 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “Elitzur Netanya vs” vs “Ironi Kiryat ATA vs Maccabi Tel-Aviv Winner”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Elitzur Netanya vs
Elitzur Netanya vs Bnei Herzliya Basket Winner?: Bnei Herzliya Basket
KXISLGAME-26MAY111330ENEBHE-BHE
Elitzur Netanya vs Ironi Kiryat ATA Winner?: Elitzur Netanya
KXISLGAME-26MAY111100ENEELI-ENE
Elitzur Netanya vs Ironi Kiryat ATA Winner?: Ironi Kiryat ATA
KXISLGAME-26MAY111100ENEELI-ELI
Elitzur Netanya vs Bnei Herzliya Basket Winner?: Elitzur Netanya
KXISLGAME-26MAY111330ENEBHE-ENE
Cluster 2
Ironi Kiryat ATA vs Maccabi Tel-Aviv Winner
Cluster 3
Hapoel Tel-Aviv vs Ironi Ness Ziona Winner
Cluster 4
Hapoel Holon BC vs Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan Winner
Cluster 5
Ironi Ness Ziona vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Winner
Cluster 6
Maccabi Rishon LeZion vs Hapoel Jerusalem Winner
Cluster 7
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Winner
Cluster 8
Hapoel Galil Elyon vs Maccabi Rishon LeZion Winner
Cluster 9
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Ironi Ness Ziona Winner
What moved the line
- May 8Hapoel Jerusalem↑13pp10→23¢ · Kalshi
- May 8Maccabi Rishon LeZion↑11pp9→20¢ · Kalshi
- May 8Hapoel Galil Elyon↑9pp6→15¢ · Kalshi
- May 8Ironi Ness Ziona↑9pp6→15¢ · Kalshi
- May 8Maccabi Rishon LeZion↑8pp10→18¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 1 min ago.