Japan J. League
Leader sits at 50% across 13 bound outcomes, runner-up at 50%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Winner: Kashima Antlers
Outcomes
13
winner-take-all
Runner-up
50¢
Winner: Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Spread
0pp
contested
24h volume
$0
thin orderbook
Closes
Jun 8, 2026
30 days
Venue
Polymarket
13 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Japan J. League: Winner
Japan J. League: Winner: Kashima Antlers
0x87f91d…28aa
Japan J. League: Winner: Fagiano Okayama
0xbaa4e2…4c24
Japan J. League: Winner: Cerezo Osaka
0xf032f7…93b1
Japan J. League: Winner: Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0xf899de…ee48
Japan J. League: Winner: V-Varen Nagasaki
0x2fb4bd…5bfe
Japan J. League: Winner: Nagoya Grampus
0xcd3283…20ab
Japan J. League: Winner: Shimizu S-Pulse
0x13efdc…090b
Japan J. League: Winner: Vissel Kobe
0x9281f0…1517
Japan J. League: Winner: Gamba Osaka
0x3d3730…cb4e
Japan J. League: Winner: Kyoto Sanga
0x3b3749…c1bf
Japan J. League: Winner: Tokyo Verdy
0x8de517…d544
Japan J. League: Winner: FC Tokyo
0x4e68e6…2d57
Japan J. League: Winner: FC Machida Zelvia
0x5dffee…3fc4
Analysis
This represents the estimated probability that a specific team will win Japan's J. League championship during the 2026 season. The current 50% level reflects one team being priced as the leading contender, with uncertainty driven by recent performance metrics, squad depth, and injury status. The upcoming months of league matches will clarify competitive positioning as standings develop and teams' true form becomes apparent through actual results. Key catalysts include fixture outcomes against direct rivals and any significant roster changes before the mid-season transfer window closes.
- ›Current league standings and point differential relative to competing teams as of May 2026
- ›Injury status of key players, particularly starting forwards and defensive lineups
- ›Recent head-to-head results and goal differential in direct matchups against other title contenders
- ›Historical win rates in away matches, which typically account for roughly half of season points
- ›Squad depth and consistency through the remaining fixture schedule, particularly performance in consecutive games
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 3 min ago.