JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. FC Machida Zelvia - More Markets: JEF United Ichihara Chiba (-1.5)
Leader sits at 71% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 46%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
9
winner-take-all
Runner-up
46¢
Both Teams to Score
Spread
25pp
contested
24h volume
$69
thin orderbook
Closes
May 10, 2026
1 days
Venue
Polymarket
9 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. FC Machida Zelvia - More Markets
JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. FC Machida Zelvia - More Markets: JEF United Ichihara Chiba (-2.5)
0x163e20…ee36
JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. FC Machida Zelvia - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xd7436c…bfd4
JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. FC Machida Zelvia - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x3252b3…a5f8
JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. FC Machida Zelvia - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x94c726…1c1f
JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. FC Machida Zelvia - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x68ce39…0b31
JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. FC Machida Zelvia - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x2f4d03…2732
JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. FC Machida Zelvia - More Markets: FC Machida Zelvia (-2.5)
0x52f8b8…112f
JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. FC Machida Zelvia - More Markets: FC Machida Zelvia (-1.5)
0x46b1b9…0051
JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. FC Machida Zelvia - More Markets: JEF United Ichihara Chiba (-1.5)
0xcf5e04…6f00
What moved the line
- May 7O/U 3.5↓9pp31→22¢ · Polymarket
- May 7FC Machida Zelvia (-1.5)↓8pp36→28¢ · Polymarket
- May 7FC Machida Zelvia (-2.5)↓8pp22→14¢ · Polymarket
- May 7O/U 4.5↓6pp18→12¢ · Polymarket
- May 7O/U 1.5↑5pp66→71¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 6 min ago.