Jeju SK FC vs. FC Seoul - More Markets
Leader sits at 69% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 50%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
9
winner-take-all
Runner-up
50¢
Both Teams to Score
Spread
19pp
contested
24h volume
$2K
modest
Closes
May 9, 2026
0 days
Venue
Polymarket
9 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Jeju SK FC vs. FC Seoul - More Markets
Jeju SK FC vs. FC Seoul - More Markets: FC Seoul (-1.5)
0x1c73a9…4a72
Jeju SK FC vs. FC Seoul - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x0bb6d3…2422
Jeju SK FC vs. FC Seoul - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x3cce75…2d00
Jeju SK FC vs. FC Seoul - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x7a0dfd…63ab
Jeju SK FC vs. FC Seoul - More Markets: Jeju SK FC (-1.5)
0x5ab9c6…9185
Jeju SK FC vs. FC Seoul - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xa55671…7a1e
Jeju SK FC vs. FC Seoul - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x434aec…80c6
Jeju SK FC vs. FC Seoul - More Markets: FC Seoul (-2.5)
0x33909f…dadf
Jeju SK FC vs. FC Seoul - More Markets: Jeju SK FC (-2.5)
0xacd85b…7f94
Analysis
This market is pricing the likelihood that both Jeju SK FC and FC Seoul will score in their upcoming match at 56%, suggesting odds slightly favoring a multi-goal game over a shutout or one-sided result. The probability reflects trading activity on Polymarket contracts, though the low trading volume ($0 in 24-hour volume) indicates limited market depth and potentially wide bid-ask spreads. Key factors influencing this probability include the offensive and defensive capabilities of both teams this season, recent form and injury status, and historical head-to-head scoring patterns. The outcome will be determined when the match concludes, making the fixture date and kickoff time the primary catalyst for market resolution. Market participants are essentially weighing the combined attacking strength of both sides against their respective defensive vulnerabilities.
- ›Current K League standing and offensive output for both teams during the 2026 season
- ›Defensive record of Jeju SK FC and FC Seoul, including goals conceded in recent matches
- ›Historical both-teams-to-score frequency in prior matchups between these specific clubs
- ›Injury reports and roster availability for key forwards or defensive players in the weeks before kickoff
- ›Match venue conditions and whether the fixture is contested at neutral ground or at either team's home stadium
What moved the line
- May 7Jeju SK FC (-2.5)↓5pp9→4¢ · Polymarket
- May 7O/U 4.5↓4pp14→10¢ · Polymarket
- May 7Jeju SK FC (-1.5)↓4pp12→8¢ · Polymarket
- May 7FC Seoul (-2.5)↓4pp11→7¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 3 h ago.