Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gwangju FC
Leader sits at 75% across 3 bound outcomes, runner-up at 18%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC
Outcomes
3
winner-take-all
Runner-up
18¢
Draw (Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
Spread
57pp
dominant leader
24h volume
$2K
modest
Closes
May 5, 2026
0 days
Venue
Polymarket
3 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gwangju FC
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gwangju FC: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC
0xdfea58…9e90
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gwangju FC: Gwangju FC
0x4fa962…6fa1
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gwangju FC: Draw (Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gwangju FC)
0xe6fc33…2250
Analysis
This market reflects an expectation that Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC will win an upcoming match against Gwangju FC, with a 72% probability assigned to a Jeonbuk victory. The high confidence in Jeonbuk likely reflects team-strength metrics, recent form, or home-field advantage, while the 20% probability on a draw suggests the market sees meaningful defensive capability from Gwangju. The main variables shifting this probability would be injury reports, recent league performance, or head-to-head historical records between the clubs. Resolution will occur at the final whistle of the scheduled fixture, when the actual outcome becomes known and betting contracts settle accordingly.
- ›Relative league standings and season-to-date win/loss records for both clubs as of early May 2026
- ›Recent form over the past 5–10 matches: win streaks, goals conceded, and offensive output
- ›Head-to-head historical record and any significant tactical mismatches between the two teams
- ›Confirmed injury or suspension status of key players for either squad before kickoff
- ›Home or away designation and any measurable home-field advantage in the K League or similar competitions
What moved the line
- May 3Gwangju FC↓18pp28→10¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC↑9pp62→71¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC↑8pp54→62¢ · Polymarket
- May 3Draw (Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gwangju FC)↓8pp27→19¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Gwangju FC↓5pp33→28¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 2 d ago.