Kahrabaa Ismailia FC vs. Pharco FC - More Markets
Leader sits at 65% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 49%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
9
winner-take-all
Runner-up
49¢
Both Teams to Score
Spread
16pp
contested
24h volume
$43
thin orderbook
Closes
May 8, 2026
0 days
Venue
Polymarket
9 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Kahrabaa Ismailia FC vs. Pharco FC - More Markets
Kahrabaa Ismailia FC vs. Pharco FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x33c442…de83
Kahrabaa Ismailia FC vs. Pharco FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x8f46cc…0b22
Kahrabaa Ismailia FC vs. Pharco FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x7d08a0…f4ae
Kahrabaa Ismailia FC vs. Pharco FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xb7d96f…e320
Kahrabaa Ismailia FC vs. Pharco FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x743a7a…c4a6
Kahrabaa Ismailia FC vs. Pharco FC - More Markets: Pharco FC (-2.5)
0xe3011d…de87
Kahrabaa Ismailia FC vs. Pharco FC - More Markets: Kahrabaa Ismailia FC (-2.5)
0xee9ac0…82aa
Kahrabaa Ismailia FC vs. Pharco FC - More Markets: Pharco FC (-1.5)
0x088d97…4972
Kahrabaa Ismailia FC vs. Pharco FC - More Markets: Kahrabaa Ismailia FC (-1.5)
0x12a6d4…daaf
Analysis
The 51% probability reflects traders' assessment that both teams will score in a match between Kahrabaa Ismailia FC and Pharco FC. This outcome is currently favored over alternatives including various margin-based results, with the next-most-likely outcome at 34%. The pricing suggests relatively balanced scoring patterns are expected, though liquidity across contracts remains minimal (zero 24-hour volume), indicating limited recent trading activity. Movements in this probability would depend on team form, injury status, tactical adjustments, or betting market shifts closer to match time. The resolution will occur on match completion, when the final scoreline determines whether both teams successfully scored.
- ›Zero trading volume across all five contracts in the past 24 hours, suggesting the current prices may not reflect active market consensus
- ›Both Teams to Score contract (51¢) trades at a meaningful premium to the margin-based contracts (29-34¢), indicating explicit demand for this outcome
- ›Pharco FC (-1.5 and -2.5) contracts price higher than corresponding Kahrabaa Ismailia FC spreads, suggesting Pharco is perceived as the stronger side
- ›The distribution of probabilities across five contracts shows no single outcome commanding majority conviction, reflecting genuine uncertainty
- ›Match outcome and scoring patterns depend on lineup confirmation, weather conditions, and pre-match team news typically released within 24-48 hours before kickoff
What moved the line
- May 7Kahrabaa Ismailia FC (-2.5)↓6pp11→5¢ · Polymarket
- May 7O/U 4.5↓4pp12→8¢ · Polymarket
- May 7Pharco FC (-2.5)↓3pp12→9¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 1 d ago.