Kamatamare Sanuki vs. Zweigen Kanazawa - More Markets
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 32% across 20 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
32%
20 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$349
20 contracts
Closes
May 6, 2026
0 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 0% of their title tokens — “Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki” vs “Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki: Kataller Toyama
0x5261c5…e1bc
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x487003…01fe
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xd10859…62db
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x63efb6…0204
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x881f45…deb3
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets: Kamatamare Sanuki (-2.5)
0x082d3e…9b88
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets: Kataller Toyama (-2.5)
0xa0c83b…2708
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets: Kamatamare Sanuki (-1.5)
0x7056f5…f07f
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xa9a006…9c94
Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki - More Markets: Kataller Toyama (-1.5)
0xa18b4a…9f97
Cluster 2
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xbfea6d…16fe
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC: Zweigen Kanazawa
0x7cd970…f2a6
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC - More Markets: Zweigen Kanazawa (-1.5)
0x25a76f…ea06
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC - More Markets: Ehime FC (-1.5)
0xc0f88a…27d9
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC - More Markets: Zweigen Kanazawa (-2.5)
0xcc1cd0…f8ca
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC - More Markets: Ehime FC (-2.5)
0x0e9852…4a6f
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x8eeea8…99fe
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x6b317d…c7ea
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x09a571…4d01
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xd4e73b…7c1f
Analysis
This market reflects a 40% probability that Kamatamare Sanuki will score more goals than Zweigen Kanazawa in an upcoming matchup. The current probability suggests relatively balanced expectations between the two teams, though the sparse trading volume across related contracts indicates limited market participation. Key drivers of this probability include recent goal-scoring performance by each team, head-to-head historical records, and current league standing differentials. The probability would likely shift based on team injuries, lineup announcements, or recent form changes in the days leading to the match. Resolution will occur once the final match result is recorded, determining which team scored more goals during regulation play.
- ›Recent goal differential: Kamatamare Sanuki's goals per game this season versus Zweigen Kanazawa's defensive record
- ›Historical head-to-head performance: Outcomes and goal totals from previous meetings between these two clubs
- ›Current league standings and form: Both teams' recent performance trends and positioning in the J-League division
- ›Injury status and team news: Availability of key offensive and defensive players before match kickoff
- ›Market liquidity disparity: The $0 24-hour volume across most related contracts suggests low confidence in the current pricing
What moved the line
- May 6Zweigen Kanazawa (-2.5)↓33pp37→4¢ · Polymarket
- May 6Kamatamare Sanuki (-2.5)↓31pp38→7¢ · Polymarket
- May 6Zweigen Kanazawa (-1.5)↓26pp41→15¢ · Polymarket
- May 6Kamatamare Sanuki (-1.5)↓25pp38→13¢ · Polymarket
- May 6Zweigen Kanazawa↓24pp48→24¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 1 d ago.