Kansas City Current vs. Chicago Stars FC - More Markets
Leader sits at 84% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 62%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
9
winner-take-all
Runner-up
62¢
O/U 2.5
Spread
22pp
contested
24h volume
$0
thin orderbook
Closes
May 10, 2026
1 days
Venue
Polymarket
9 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Kansas City Current vs. Chicago Stars FC - More Markets
Kansas City Current vs. Chicago Stars FC - More Markets: Kansas City Current (-1.5)
0x2e6da9…d5c5
Kansas City Current vs. Chicago Stars FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x8a0525…8ff0
Kansas City Current vs. Chicago Stars FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x02cdb3…498f
Kansas City Current vs. Chicago Stars FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x13aec3…bda1
Kansas City Current vs. Chicago Stars FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x881fac…c755
Kansas City Current vs. Chicago Stars FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xd4f556…5236
Kansas City Current vs. Chicago Stars FC - More Markets: Chicago Stars FC (-2.5)
0xea76c1…f0ae
Kansas City Current vs. Chicago Stars FC - More Markets: Kansas City Current (-2.5)
0xc3fbc3…e25c
Kansas City Current vs. Chicago Stars FC - More Markets: Chicago Stars FC (-1.5)
0xa67d76…1001
What moved the line
- May 7Chicago Stars FC (-1.5)↓13pp32→19¢ · Polymarket
- May 8Chicago Stars FC (-2.5)↓8pp24→16¢ · Polymarket
- May 8Kansas City Current (-2.5)↑6pp30→36¢ · Polymarket
- May 7O/U 2.5↑5pp50→55¢ · Polymarket
- May 8O/U 4.5↑5pp27→32¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 6 min ago.