KBL
Leader sits at 71% across 2 bound outcomes, runner-up at 41%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Winner: Jeonju KCC Egis
Outcomes
2
winner-take-all
Runner-up
41¢
Winner: Goyang Sono Skygunne
Spread
30pp
contested
24h volume
$0
thin orderbook
Closes
May 31, 2026
22 days
Venue
Polymarket
2 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
KBL: Winner
KBL: Winner: Goyang Sono Skygunners
0xd86ccd…0999
KBL: Winner: Jeonju KCC Egis
0xbaa829…198c
Analysis
This probability indicates that Goyang Sono Skygunners and Jeonju KCC Egis are assessed as equally likely to win the Korean Basketball League championship. The Korean basketball season typically runs from October through April, with playoffs extending into spring. The 50% split reflects near-maximum uncertainty between these two teams, suggesting either very close competitive standing, incomplete information about roster changes or injuries, or both teams being regarded as legitimate contenders. The championship will be determined through the regular season and playoff format culminating in a finals series. Key upcoming events include the completion of any ongoing regular season games, playoff matchups, and ultimately the championship finals series, which would fully resolve this market.
- ›Regular season win-loss records and head-to-head results between Goyang Sono Skygunners and Jeonju KCC Egis
- ›Injury status and roster composition of both teams entering the playoff period
- ›Historical performance and playoff experience of each team's core players
- ›Playoff bracket positioning and remaining schedule (if season is ongoing)
- ›Betting market liquidity and volume ($0 24h on both contracts suggests limited recent trading activity, reducing confidence in price accuracy
What moved the line
- May 6Winner: Goyang Sono Skygunners↑5pp49→54¢ · Polymarket
- May 8Winner: Goyang Sono Skygunners↓4pp52→48¢ · Polymarket
- May 8Winner: Jeonju KCC Egis↓4pp51→47¢ · Polymarket
- May 7Winner: Jeonju KCC Egis↑3pp48→51¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
- What will Donald Trump say during CNBClast 95% · 1d
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: D Senate, R Houselast 3% · 1d
- Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Aug 2026last 85% · 1d
- What will any participating candidate say during South Carolina GOP gubernatorial debatenolast 7% · 1d
- FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC - More Marketslast 74% · 2d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
Lateral coverage
Thin contract — here's where the deeper coverage is.
This page aggregates 2 contracts (71% headline). At low contract count, the price reflects two participants’ opinions, not a market consensus. The links below are heavier related questions where the orderbook signal is real.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 1 min ago.