LCK Challengers League 2026 Winner

30-day trend

Analysis

The 17% probability represents the market's assessment that a specific outcome (identified by the contract leader) will occur in the LCK Challengers League 2026 tournament. The relatively low probability reflects either a crowded field of competitive alternatives or confidence in other contenders. Market depth appears modest, with top contracts trading between 14¢ and 22¢ and daily volumes under $2,000 across related LCK futures. The current price is primarily influenced by team roster strength, recent performance trends in Korean esports, and historical competitive patterns in the LCK ecosystem. The main catalyst for significant price movement would be roster announcements, playoff bracket releases, or head-to-head matchup results that clarify team competitive positioning. As the 2026 season progresses, match outcomes and injury status will provide concrete data that either validates or contradicts current probability assignments.

• ›Market liquidity for this contract is relatively low at $1,719 24h volume, meaning large trades could shift prices meaningfully
• ›The runner-up contract trades at 7%, indicating the outcome space is distributed across at least 3+ viable competitors rather than concentrated
• ›Related LCK contracts show the field is fragmented (T1 14¢, Hanwha Life 21¢, KT Rolster 18¢), suggesting no single team has commanding odds
• ›Trading volume across linked Polymarket contracts remains below $2,000 daily, indicating limited institutional participation or awareness of this specific market
• ›The 17% leader price versus lower volumes suggests this may reflect recent trading activity rather than deep consensus from active market makers

What moved the line

• May 3Nongshim Challengers↓33pp39→6¢ · Polymarket
• May 6SOOPers Challengers↑23pp10→33¢ · Polymarket
• May 2SOOPers Challengers↓12pp29→17¢ · Polymarket
• May 2Dplus Challengers↑10pp8→18¢ · Polymarket
• May 2T1 Esports Academy↓9pp49→40¢ · Polymarket

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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

How we compute these odds