Londrina EC vs. São Bernardo FC - More Markets
Leader sits at 69% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 50%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
9
winner-take-all
Runner-up
50¢
Both Teams to Score
Spread
19pp
contested
24h volume
$0
thin orderbook
Closes
May 10, 2026
1 days
Venue
Polymarket
9 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Londrina EC vs. São Bernardo FC - More Markets
Londrina EC vs. São Bernardo FC - More Markets: Londrina EC (-1.5)
0xd28154…5fea
Londrina EC vs. São Bernardo FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xb88ba6…e7bc
Londrina EC vs. São Bernardo FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xa02d6f…2c7d
Londrina EC vs. São Bernardo FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x502379…087d
Londrina EC vs. São Bernardo FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xef81df…f639
Londrina EC vs. São Bernardo FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x10f5b2…07bf
Londrina EC vs. São Bernardo FC - More Markets: São Bernardo FC (-2.5)
0x775f57…ae7b
Londrina EC vs. São Bernardo FC - More Markets: Londrina EC (-2.5)
0x0bda72…ec08
Londrina EC vs. São Bernardo FC - More Markets: São Bernardo FC (-1.5)
0x59cdfd…0fc1
Analysis
This market reflects the current belief that both Londrina EC and São Bernardo FC will score during their matchup, with 49% probability. The assessment depends on both teams' recent offensive and defensive performance records—whether each squad typically generates scoring opportunities and struggles defensively against comparable opponents. Londrina and São Bernardo's recent form, available player rosters, and head-to-head historical patterns would move this probability. The resolution depends on the actual match result on its scheduled date, where final confirmation comes from official goal records. Changes in team injuries, lineup announcements, or weather conditions closer to kickoff could shift market expectations. Currently, low trading volume suggests limited recent market activity or conviction.
- ›Londrina EC's recent goal-scoring rate and defensive concession rate in comparable competitions
- ›São Bernardo FC's recent goal-scoring rate and defensive concession rate in comparable competitions
- ›Historical tendency of matches between these two teams to feature goals from both sides
- ›Current injury status or absences of key attacking or defensive players for either squad
- ›Scheduled match date and any announced lineup changes or tactical adjustments by either team
What moved the line
- May 8O/U 4.5↓6pp18→12¢ · Polymarket
- May 7O/U 4.5↑4pp14→18¢ · Polymarket
- May 8Londrina EC (-1.5)↓3pp16→13¢ · Polymarket
- May 8Both Teams to Score↑3pp51→54¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 5 min ago.