SimpleFunctions
Winner-take-all · 9 outcomes9 contractsPolymarketrefreshed 6 min agoCloses May 11, 2026 · 2d22pp · 48h

Los Angeles FC vs. Houston Dynamo - More Markets

Leader sits at 79% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 55%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.

Leader probability

79%

O/U 1.5

runner-up 55¢leader 79¢

Outcomes

9

winner-take-all

Runner-up

55¢

O/U 2.5

Spread

24pp

contested

24h volume

$311

thin orderbook

Closes

May 11, 2026

2 days

Venue

Polymarket

9 bound

30-day trend

0%50%100%-30d-3w-2w-1wtodayO/U 1.5: 82% (3 days, 3 points)O/U 1.5: 82% on 2026-05-08O/U 2.5: 60% (3 days, 3 points)O/U 2.5: 60% on 2026-05-08Both Teams to Score: 58% (3 days, 3 points)Both Teams to Score: 58% on 2026-05-08
O/U 1.582¢O/U 2.560¢Both Teams to Score58¢
Top 3 candidates by current price · 3d

Bracket family

How the bracket ladder is priced.

Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.

Analysis

This market reflects a 57% probability that both Los Angeles FC and Houston Dynamo will score in their upcoming match. The outcome depends primarily on the attacking efficiency and defensive vulnerabilities of both teams—stronger offensive form or depleted defenses would increase the likelihood of both teams scoring, while defensive solidity or attacking struggles would lower it. The match itself will serve as the resolution event, with the final score determining whether both teams found the back of the net. Current trading volume is minimal across all related contracts, indicating limited market activity and potential pricing uncertainty.

  • Recent goal-scoring rates for both LAFC and Houston Dynamo in league play compared to their season averages
  • Defensive record and goals-conceded frequency for each team over the last 10 matches
  • Player availability, including status of key forwards or defenders who may be injured or suspended
  • Head-to-head historical data: whether previous LAFC-Houston matchups typically featured open play and multiple goals
  • Current league standings and form entering the match, as struggling teams may be more defensive-minded

Recently closed in general

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

More like this

Adjacent prediction questions.

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 6 min ago.