What will Zohran Mamdani say during next NYC Mayor's Office announcement
Leader sits at 36% across 14 bound outcomes, runner-up at 32%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
Outcomes
14
winner-take-all
Runner-up
32¢
Safe / Safer / Safety
Spread
4pp
contested
24h volume
$9K
modest
Closes
May 27, 2026
18 days
Venue
Kalshi
14 bound
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
What will Zohran Mamdani say during next NYC Mayor's Office announcement
What will Zohran Mamdani say during next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?: Afford / Affordable / Affordability
KXMAMDANIMENTION-26MAY05-AFFO
What will Zohran Mamdani say during next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?: NYPD
KXMAMDANIMENTION-26MAY05-NYPD
What will Zohran Mamdani say during next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?: Safe / Safer / Safety
KXMAMDANIMENTION-26MAY05-SAFE
What will Zohran Mamdani say during next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?: Governor / Hochul
KXMAMDANIMENTION-26MAY05-GOVE
What will Zohran Mamdani say during next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?: Economy / Economic
KXMAMDANIMENTION-26MAY05-ECON
What will Zohran Mamdani say during next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?: Budget / Deficit
KXMAMDANIMENTION-26MAY05-BUDG
What will Zohran Mamdani say during next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?: Childcare
KXMAMDANIMENTION-26MAY05-CHIL
What will Zohran Mamdani say during next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?: Billionaire
KXMAMDANIMENTION-26MAY05-BILL
What will Zohran Mamdani say during next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?: Trump / President
KXMAMDANIMENTION-26MAY05-TRUM
What will Zohran Mamdani say during next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?: Knicks / Mets / Yankees
KXMAMDANIMENTION-26MAY05-KNIC
What will Zohran Mamdani say during next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?: Iran / Iranian
KXMAMDANIMENTION-26MAY05-IRAN
What will Zohran Mamdani say during next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?: Israel / Israeli
KXMAMDANIMENTION-26MAY05-ISRA
What will Zohran Mamdani say during next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?: Bus / Fast & Free
KXMAMDANIMENTION-26MAY05-BUS
What will Zohran Mamdani say during next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?: World Cup
KXMAMDANIMENTION-26MAY05-WORL
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 2 d ago.