Based on 20 prediction markets, the current aggregate probability is 10%. Data sourced from Kalshi and Polymarket.

2026 Midterms

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10%

20 markets·Kalshi + Polymarket

Contracts

2026 Midterms: House Turnout: 110-115m

P$64

14¢

2026 Midterms: House Turnout: 100-105m

P$22

6¢

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory: Democrats 2-4%

P$0

5¢

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory: Democrats 0-2%

P$0

4¢

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory: Democrats 10-12%

P$0

13¢

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory: Republicans 0-2%

P$0

7¢

2026 Midterms: House Turnout: <85m

P$0

5¢

2026 Midterms: House Turnout: 125-130m

P$0

23¢

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory: Democrats 14-16%

P$0

6¢

2026 Midterms: House Turnout: 130m+

P$0

5¢

2026 Midterms: House Turnout: 115-120m

P$0

18¢

2026 Midterms: House Turnout: 85-90m

P$0

9¢

2026 Midterms: House Turnout: 95-100m

P$0

3¢

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory: Republicans 2-4%

P$0

9¢

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory: Democrats 6-8%

P$0

14¢

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory: Democrats 16%+

P$0

4¢

2026 Midterms: House Turnout: 120-125m

P$0

13¢

2026 Midterms: House Turnout: 105-110m

P$0

13¢

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory: Democrats 8-10%

P$0

14¢

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory: Democrats 4-6%

P$0

17¢

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