Minnesota United FC vs. Austin FC - More Markets
Leader sits at 81% across 8 bound outcomes, runner-up at 59%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
8
winner-take-all
Runner-up
59¢
O/U 2.5
Spread
22pp
contested
24h volume
$44
thin orderbook
Closes
May 10, 2026
1 days
Venue
Polymarket
8 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Minnesota United FC vs. Austin FC - More Markets
Minnesota United FC vs. Austin FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x64f91e…2fb9
Minnesota United FC vs. Austin FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x904ffa…d82b
Minnesota United FC vs. Austin FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xed8612…5ea2
Minnesota United FC vs. Austin FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x359771…2e3f
Minnesota United FC vs. Austin FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xaaa3ca…37ca
Minnesota United FC vs. Austin FC - More Markets: Minnesota United FC (-2.5)
0x4c229d…eed0
Minnesota United FC vs. Austin FC - More Markets: Austin FC (-1.5)
0xdbb18b…d079
Minnesota United FC vs. Austin FC - More Markets: Minnesota United FC (-1.5)
0x19ca7a…cd60
What moved the line
- May 7Austin FC (-1.5)↓3pp12→9¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
- What will Donald Trump say during CNBClast 95% · 1d
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: D Senate, R Houselast 3% · 1d
- Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Aug 2026last 85% · 1d
- What will any participating candidate say during South Carolina GOP gubernatorial debatenolast 7% · 1d
- FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC - More Marketslast 74% · 2d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 6 min ago.