SimpleFunctions
ClosedLast odds shown below are frozen at close (May 7, 2026). Future questions tracked on /odds.
Winner-take-all · 8 outcomes8 contractsPolymarketclosed 2 d agoCloses May 7, 2026 · 0d

Mirassol FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista - More Markets

Leader sits at 60% across 8 bound outcomes, runner-up at 42%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.

Leader probability

60%

O/U 1.5

runner-up 42¢leader 60¢

Outcomes

8

winner-take-all

Runner-up

42¢

Both Teams to Score

Spread

18pp

contested

24h volume

$5K

modest

Closes

May 7, 2026

0 days

Venue

Polymarket

8 bound

30-day trend

0%50%100%-30d-3w-2w-1wtodayO/U 1.5: 45% (3 days, 2 points)O/U 1.5: 45% on 2026-05-07Both Teams to Score: 30% (3 days, 3 points)Both Teams to Score: 30% on 2026-05-07O/U 2.5: 14% (3 days, 2 points)O/U 2.5: 14% on 2026-05-07
O/U 1.545¢Both Teams to Score30¢O/U 2.514¢
Top 3 candidates by current price · 3d

Bracket family

How the bracket ladder is priced.

Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.

What moved the line

  • May 7O/U 2.521pp3514¢ · Polymarket
  • May 7O/U 1.517pp6245¢ · Polymarket
  • May 6SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5)16pp204¢ · Polymarket
  • May 7Both Teams to Score13pp4330¢ · Polymarket
  • May 6O/U 4.512pp186¢ · Polymarket

Recently closed in general

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

More like this

Adjacent prediction questions.

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 2 d ago.