Modern SC vs. El Ittihad SC El Iskandary - More Markets
Leader sits at 56% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 42%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
9
winner-take-all
Runner-up
42¢
Both Teams to Score
Spread
14pp
contested
24h volume
$0
thin orderbook
Closes
May 8, 2026
0 days
Venue
Polymarket
9 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Modern SC vs. El Ittihad SC El Iskandary - More Markets
Modern SC vs. El Ittihad SC El Iskandary - More Markets: Modern SC (-1.5)
0x8bb171…a621
Modern SC vs. El Ittihad SC El Iskandary - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x75e8ed…3360
Modern SC vs. El Ittihad SC El Iskandary - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x4d89b3…d484
Modern SC vs. El Ittihad SC El Iskandary - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x343484…3998
Modern SC vs. El Ittihad SC El Iskandary - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x4deb5b…2f6b
Modern SC vs. El Ittihad SC El Iskandary - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x2f9cb6…a67a
Modern SC vs. El Ittihad SC El Iskandary - More Markets: El Ittihad SC El Iskandary (-2.5)
0x2248f5…fec4
Modern SC vs. El Ittihad SC El Iskandary - More Markets: Modern SC (-2.5)
0x42eff9…543f
Modern SC vs. El Ittihad SC El Iskandary - More Markets: El Ittihad SC El Iskandary (-1.5)
0xa8241c…8bd3
Analysis
This market estimates the likelihood that both Modern SC and El Ittihad SC El Iskandary will each score at least one goal in their upcoming match. The 50% probability reflects uncertainty about whether the game will produce goals from both sides, compared to outcomes where one team shuts out the other or the match ends goalless. Current pricing suggests modest confidence that both teams will find the net, though the lack of recent trading volume indicates limited market activity. Resolution depends on the final match result, which will be determined when the fixture is played. Factors influencing the probability include each team's recent offensive and defensive form, head-to-head scoring patterns, and tactical approach expected for this particular fixture.
- ›Recent goal-scoring rates for both Modern SC and El Ittihad SC El Iskandary across their last 5-10 matches
- ›Defensive performance metrics, including goals conceded per game for each team in their current form
- ›Historical head-to-head records between these teams, particularly scoring patterns in prior matchups
- ›Team lineup availability and injury status that could affect offensive or defensive capability
- ›Scheduled match date and time, along with any weather or venue factors that historically correlate with scoring outcomes
What moved the line
- May 6Modern SC (-1.5)↓31pp42→11¢ · Polymarket
- May 6El Ittihad SC El Iskandary (-1.5)↓26pp36→10¢ · Polymarket
- May 6El Ittihad SC El Iskandary (-2.5)↓25pp33→8¢ · Polymarket
- May 6Modern SC (-2.5)↓23pp35→12¢ · Polymarket
- May 7Modern SC (-2.5)↓5pp12→7¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 1 d ago.