Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Palestino - More Markets
Leader sits at 71% across 8 bound outcomes, runner-up at 50%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
8
winner-take-all
Runner-up
50¢
Both Teams to Score
Spread
21pp
contested
24h volume
$1K
modest
Closes
May 6, 2026
0 days
Venue
Polymarket
8 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Palestino - More Markets
Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Palestino - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xe10577…46f4
Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Palestino - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x1e7321…d227
Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Palestino - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x69428f…bd63
Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Palestino - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x07f7a0…ead8
Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Palestino - More Markets: Montevideo City Torque (-2.5)
0x6a797b…580f
Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Palestino - More Markets: CD Palestino (-1.5)
0x3516b5…3b92
Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Palestino - More Markets: Montevideo City Torque (-1.5)
0xfaa73b…37c0
Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Palestino - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xeb5b2d…0abc
What moved the line
- May 7O/U 1.5↓54pp54→0¢ · Polymarket
- May 7Both Teams to Score↓36pp36→0¢ · Polymarket
- May 7O/U 2.5↓33pp33→0¢ · Polymarket
- May 7Montevideo City Torque (-1.5)↓24pp24→0¢ · Polymarket
- May 7Montevideo City Torque (-2.5)↓18pp18→0¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
- What will Donald Trump say during CNBClast 95% · 1d
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: D Senate, R Houselast 3% · 1d
- Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Aug 2026last 85% · 1d
- What will any participating candidate say during South Carolina GOP gubernatorial debatenolast 7% · 1d
- FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC - More Marketslast 74% · 2d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 1 d ago.