SimpleFunctions
Winner-take-all · 16 outcomes16 contractsPolymarketrefreshed 3 min agoCloses Jul 14, 2026 · 66d

Morocco Botola Pro

Leader sits at 49% across 16 bound outcomes, runner-up at 49%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.

Leader probability

49%

Winner: RS Berkane

runner-up 49¢leader 49¢

Outcomes

16

winner-take-all

Runner-up

49¢

Winner: Wydad Casablanca

Spread

0pp

contested

24h volume

$0

thin orderbook

Closes

Jul 14, 2026

66 days

Venue

Polymarket

16 bound

30-day trend

0%50%100%-30d-3w-2w-1wtodayWinner: RS Berkane: 48% (12 days, 10 points)Winner: RS Berkane: 48% on 2026-05-08Winner: Wydad Casablanca: 48% (12 days, 10 points)Winner: Wydad Casablanca: 48% on 2026-05-08Winner: FUS Rabat: 48% (12 days, 12 points)Winner: FUS Rabat: 48% on 2026-05-08
Winner: RS Berkane48¢Winner: Wydad Casablanca48¢Winner: FUS Rabat48¢
Top 3 candidates by current price · 12d

Bracket family

How the bracket ladder is priced.

Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.

Analysis

This probability reflects traders' view on which team will win Morocco's Botola Pro league title. The 50% price for Ittihad Tanger indicates substantial uncertainty about the season's outcome, with multiple competitors priced equally high. Market movement would likely depend on current league standings, remaining fixture difficulty, and team performance over the coming weeks. The season conclusion—expected in late May or early June depending on the Botola Pro schedule—will definitively resolve which team finishes as champion. Until then, recent results and head-to-head records between top contenders will be the primary drivers of probability shifts.

  • Current points gap between Ittihad Tanger and other title contenders according to the official 2025-26 Botola Pro standings
  • Remaining fixtures for each of the five equally-priced teams, including strength of schedule down the stretch
  • Head-to-head records and goal differential between the leading candidates in direct matchups
  • Injuries, suspensions, or personnel changes affecting key players on top-tier squads
  • Historical win rates and consistency metrics for each team over the past 3-5 seasons in Moroccan top-flight competition

What moved the line

  • May 7Winner: FAR Rabat3pp5148¢ · Polymarket

Recently closed in general

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

More like this

Adjacent prediction questions.

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 3 min ago.