Morocco Botola Pro
Leader sits at 49% across 16 bound outcomes, runner-up at 49%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Winner: RS Berkane
Outcomes
16
winner-take-all
Runner-up
49¢
Winner: Wydad Casablanca
Spread
0pp
contested
24h volume
$0
thin orderbook
Closes
Jul 14, 2026
66 days
Venue
Polymarket
16 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Morocco Botola Pro: Winner
Morocco Botola Pro: Winner: Raja Casablanca
0xcf71a4…e8ed
Morocco Botola Pro: Winner: US Yacoub El Mansour
0xfe9f7c…0afb
Morocco Botola Pro: Winner: Union de Touarga
0x723253…5667
Morocco Botola Pro: Winner: Olympic Club de Safi
0x830730…cf0d
Morocco Botola Pro: Winner: Ittihad Tanger
0x06bd8c…3094
Morocco Botola Pro: Winner: Hassania Agadir
0x772148…5a4d
Morocco Botola Pro: Winner: Maghreb Fès
0x434801…5aa4
Morocco Botola Pro: Winner: FUS Rabat
0xc5c51f…68b9
Morocco Botola Pro: Winner: Wydad Casablanca
0x72b28c…aee5
Morocco Botola Pro: Winner: Olympique Dcheira
0x119b3f…f12e
Morocco Botola Pro: Winner: Renaissance Zemamra
0xf5645c…23a9
Morocco Botola Pro: Winner: CODM Meknès
0xfc6045…189d
Morocco Botola Pro: Winner: Difaâ El Jadida
0x185c7f…0ebf
Morocco Botola Pro: Winner: KACM Marrakech
0x956d0a…d29b
Morocco Botola Pro: Winner: FAR Rabat
0x8b0dd3…746f
Morocco Botola Pro: Winner: RS Berkane
0x44ada1…34f9
Analysis
This probability reflects traders' view on which team will win Morocco's Botola Pro league title. The 50% price for Ittihad Tanger indicates substantial uncertainty about the season's outcome, with multiple competitors priced equally high. Market movement would likely depend on current league standings, remaining fixture difficulty, and team performance over the coming weeks. The season conclusion—expected in late May or early June depending on the Botola Pro schedule—will definitively resolve which team finishes as champion. Until then, recent results and head-to-head records between top contenders will be the primary drivers of probability shifts.
- ›Current points gap between Ittihad Tanger and other title contenders according to the official 2025-26 Botola Pro standings
- ›Remaining fixtures for each of the five equally-priced teams, including strength of schedule down the stretch
- ›Head-to-head records and goal differential between the leading candidates in direct matchups
- ›Injuries, suspensions, or personnel changes affecting key players on top-tier squads
- ›Historical win rates and consistency metrics for each team over the past 3-5 seasons in Moroccan top-flight competition
What moved the line
- May 7Winner: FAR Rabat↓3pp51→48¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 3 min ago.