National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC
Leader sits at 52% across 3 bound outcomes, runner-up at 30%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
National Bank of Egypt Club
Outcomes
3
winner-take-all
Runner-up
30¢
Draw (National Bank of Egypt
Spread
22pp
contested
24h volume
$703
thin orderbook
Closes
May 7, 2026
0 days
Venue
Polymarket
3 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC
National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC: National Bank of Egypt Club
0x02c648…8403
National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC: Draw (National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC)
0x1728e3…d4de
National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC: Ismaily SC
0xb614f6…aa93
Analysis
This market reflects traders' assessment that National Bank of Egypt Club has a 43% chance of winning their match against Ismaily SC, with competitor Ismaily SC priced at 35% and a draw scenario at the remainder. The probability sits notably below even odds, suggesting market participants view Ismaily SC as slightly favored or see meaningful uncertainty in the outcome. The current level likely reflects recent team form, head-to-head history, and any available squad information. The match result will resolve this market once the final whistle concludes play. Movement in this probability would follow any roster changes, injury announcements, or public performance data released before kickoff. The specific match date and venue conditions will function as the primary catalyst for settling the contract.
- ›Recent league standings and win-loss records for both teams in their current season
- ›Head-to-head historical performance in prior matchups between National Bank of Egypt Club and Ismaily SC
- ›Announced injuries, suspensions, or roster changes affecting either team's available players
- ›Trading volume distribution across the three outcome contracts, indicating where larger position holders have placed confidence
- ›Match venue location and any environmental factors (pitch condition, travel fatigue, crowd composition) that typically affect Egyptian Premier League outcomes
What moved the line
- May 6Ismaily SC↓13pp34→21¢ · Polymarket
- May 7Ismaily SC↓13pp21→8¢ · Polymarket
- May 7National Bank of Egypt Club↑10pp47→57¢ · Polymarket
- May 6National Bank of Egypt Club↑5pp42→47¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
- What will Donald Trump say during CNBClast 95% · 1d
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: D Senate, R Houselast 3% · 1d
- Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Aug 2026last 85% · 1d
- What will any participating candidate say during South Carolina GOP gubernatorial debatenolast 7% · 1d
- FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC - More Marketslast 74% · 2d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 8 h ago.