National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC - More Markets
Leader sits at 66% across 8 bound outcomes, runner-up at 45%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
8
winner-take-all
Runner-up
45¢
Both Teams to Score
Spread
21pp
contested
24h volume
$53
thin orderbook
Closes
May 7, 2026
0 days
Venue
Polymarket
8 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC - More Markets
National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xe6e231…6e53
National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x3c0f5f…5d9f
National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC - More Markets: National Bank of Egypt Club (-1.5)
0x21ed5a…5e0d
National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xfa839b…5bad
National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x3e4cd1…c9a0
National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x491b92…d453
National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC - More Markets: National Bank of Egypt Club (-2.5)
0x5d63d2…892c
National Bank of Egypt Club vs. Ismaily SC - More Markets: Ismaily SC (-1.5)
0xaa1d2c…6cde
Analysis
This market reflects a 47% probability that the National Bank of Egypt Club will win an upcoming match against Ismaily SC. The probability is substantially lower than even odds, suggesting market participants view Ismaily SC as the favored outcome. The difference between the leading contract at 47% and the runner-up at 36% indicates some disagreement among traders about the likely winner. The resolution will depend on match performance on a specific date, with factors including team form, head-to-head records, and current squad composition influencing the outcome. The result becomes certain once the match concludes and the winner is officially recorded.
- ›National Bank of Egypt Club is priced at 47%, implying roughly even chances but slightly disadvantaged compared to the leading alternative at 36%
- ›Trading volume and contract distribution suggest moderate market confidence rather than consensus, with meaningful open interest across multiple outcomes
- ›The match outcome will be determined by live performance on a scheduled date, making recent team form and player availability material factors
- ›Head-to-head historical performance between these Egyptian Premier League teams would constitute a baseline for competitive expectation
- ›Current squad composition, injuries, or roster changes in the weeks prior to match day could shift win probability based on available playing strength
What moved the line
- May 6Ismaily SC (-1.5)↓32pp37→5¢ · Polymarket
- May 6National Bank of Egypt Club (-2.5)↓30pp37→7¢ · Polymarket
- May 6O/U 4.5↓27pp34→7¢ · Polymarket
- May 7Both Teams to Score↓20pp45→25¢ · Polymarket
- May 6O/U 3.5↓20pp39→19¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 8 h ago.