Will New York cover -2.5 games in the Atlanta vs New York 1st Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball playoffs
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 49% across 11 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
49%
11 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$23K
11 contracts
Closes
Jun 3, 2026
25 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
6 clusters across 11 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 33% of their title tokens — “Will New York cover” vs “Will Oklahoma City cover”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Will New York cover
Will New York cover -2.5 games in the Philadelphia vs New York 2nd Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: New York -2.5 games
KXNBASERIESSPREAD-26PHINYKR2-NYK3
Will New York cover -1.5 games in the Philadelphia vs New York 2nd Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: New York -1.5 games
KXNBASERIESSPREAD-26PHINYKR2-NYK2
Cluster 2
Will Oklahoma City cover
Will Oklahoma City cover -2.5 games in the Los Angeles L vs Oklahoma City 2nd Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: Oklahoma City -2.5 games
KXNBASERIESSPREAD-26LALOKCR2-OKC3
Will Oklahoma City cover -1.5 games in the Los Angeles L vs Oklahoma City 2nd Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: Oklahoma City -1.5 games
KXNBASERIESSPREAD-26LALOKCR2-OKC2
Cluster 3
Will San Antonio cover
Will San Antonio cover -1.5 games in the Minnesota vs San Antonio 2nd Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: San Antonio -1.5 games
KXNBASERIESSPREAD-26MINSASR2-SAS2
Will San Antonio cover -2.5 games in the Minnesota vs San Antonio 2nd Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: San Antonio -2.5 games
KXNBASERIESSPREAD-26MINSASR2-SAS3
Cluster 4
Will Minnesota cover
Will Minnesota cover -1.5 games in the Minnesota vs San Antonio 2nd Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: Minnesota -1.5 games
KXNBASERIESSPREAD-26MINSASR2-MIN2
Will Minnesota cover -2.5 games in the Minnesota vs San Antonio 2nd Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: Minnesota -2.5 games
KXNBASERIESSPREAD-26MINSASR2-MIN3
Cluster 5
Will Detroit cover
Will Detroit cover -1.5 games in the Cleveland vs Detroit 2nd Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: Detroit -1.5 games
KXNBASERIESSPREAD-26CLEDETR2-DET2
Will Detroit cover -2.5 games in the Cleveland vs Detroit 2nd Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?: Detroit -2.5 games
KXNBASERIESSPREAD-26CLEDETR2-DET3
Cluster 6
Will Cleveland cover -1.5 games in the Cleveland vs Detroit 2nd Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs
What moved the line
- May 6San Antonio -2.5 games↓52pp67→15¢ · Kalshi
- May 6San Antonio -1.5 games↓41pp80→39¢ · Kalshi
- May 6Minnesota -1.5 games↑19pp2→21¢ · Kalshi
- May 7Oklahoma City -1.5 games↑18pp73→91¢ · Kalshi
- May 2San Antonio -1.5 games↑15pp65→80¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 4 min ago.