20 contractsKalshirefreshed 2 min agoCloses May 23, 2026 · 14d

Will Denver score over 109.5 points

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 40% across 20 Kalshi contracts.

Implied probability

40%

0%50%100%

Kalshi

40%

20 contracts

Polymarket

—

not bound

Cross-venue gap

—

single venue

24h move

—

no pin

24h volume

$419

20 contracts

Closes

May 23, 2026

14 days

Top contract →Read as answer

30-day trend

Aggregate of 20 contracts · 1d

Bracket families

4 clusters across 20 contracts.

These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.

Cluster 1

Will Los Angeles L score over

9 contracts$32

OutcomePrice24hVolumeVenueDetail

Will Los Angeles L score over 89.5 points?: Los Angeles L over 89.5 points scored

KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY09OKCLAL-LAL89

58¢—$21K→

Will Los Angeles L score over 113.5 points?: Los Angeles L over 113.5 points scored

KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY09OKCLAL-LAL113

4¢—$11K→

Will Los Angeles L score over 101.5 points?: Los Angeles L over 101.5 points scored

KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY09OKCLAL-LAL101

47¢—$1K→

Will Los Angeles L score over 110.5 points?: Los Angeles L over 110.5 points scored

KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY09OKCLAL-LAL110

3¢—$0K→

Will Los Angeles L score over 107.5 points?: Los Angeles L over 107.5 points scored

KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY09OKCLAL-LAL107

7¢—$0K→

Will Los Angeles L score over 104.5 points?: Los Angeles L over 104.5 points scored

KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY09OKCLAL-LAL104

8¢—$0K→

Will Los Angeles L score over 98.5 points?: Los Angeles L over 98.5 points scored

KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY09OKCLAL-LAL98

53¢—$0K→

Will Los Angeles L score over 95.5 points?: Los Angeles L over 95.5 points scored

KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY09OKCLAL-LAL95

57¢—$0K→

Will Los Angeles L score over 92.5 points?: Los Angeles L over 92.5 points scored

KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY09OKCLAL-LAL92

57¢—$0K→

Cluster 2

Will Oklahoma City score over

6 contracts$17

OutcomePrice24hVolumeVenueDetail

Will Oklahoma City score over 116.5 points?: Oklahoma City over 116.5 points scored

KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY09OKCLAL-OKC116

11¢—$17K→

Will Oklahoma City score over 110.5 points?: Oklahoma City over 110.5 points scored

KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY09OKCLAL-OKC110

35¢—$0K→

Will Oklahoma City score over 107.5 points?: Oklahoma City over 107.5 points scored

KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY09OKCLAL-OKC107

47¢—$0K→

Will Oklahoma City score over 104.5 points?: Oklahoma City over 104.5 points scored

KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY09OKCLAL-OKC104

49¢—$0K→

Will Oklahoma City score over 101.5 points?: Oklahoma City over 101.5 points scored

KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY09OKCLAL-OKC101

49¢—$0K→

Will Oklahoma City score over 98.5 points?: Oklahoma City over 98.5 points scored

KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY09OKCLAL-OKC98

48¢—$0K→

Cluster 3

Will Cleveland score over

3 contracts$315

OutcomePrice24hVolumeVenueDetail

Will Cleveland score over 108.5 points?: Cleveland over 108.5 points scored

KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY09DETCLE-CLE108

41¢—$269K→

Will Cleveland score over 99.5 points?: Cleveland over 99.5 points scored

KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY09DETCLE-CLE99

70¢—$29K→

Will Cleveland score over 105.5 points?: Cleveland over 105.5 points scored

KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY09DETCLE-CLE105

52¢—$17K→

Cluster 4

Will Detroit score over

2 contracts$55

OutcomePrice24hVolumeVenueDetail

Will Detroit score over 92.5 points?: Detroit over 92.5 points scored

KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY09DETCLE-DET92

56¢—$42K→

Will Detroit score over 104.5 points?: Detroit over 104.5 points scored

KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY09DETCLE-DET104

44¢—$13K→

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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

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