College Lacrosse
Leader sits at 65% across 14 bound outcomes, runner-up at 63%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Semifinals Qualifiers: Princeton
Outcomes
14
winner-take-all
Runner-up
63¢
Semifinals Qualifiers: Notre
Spread
2pp
contested
24h volume
$902
thin orderbook
Closes
May 25, 2026
16 days
Venue
Kalshi
14 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
College Lacrosse: Semifinals Qualifiers
College Lacrosse: Semifinals Qualifiers: Virginia
KXNCAAMLAXF4-26-VIR
College Lacrosse: Semifinals Qualifiers: Army
KXNCAAMLAXF4-26-ARM
College Lacrosse: Semifinals Qualifiers: Syracuse
KXNCAAMLAXF4-26-SYR
College Lacrosse: Semifinals Qualifiers: Richmond
KXNCAAMLAXF4-26-RIC
College Lacrosse: Semifinals Qualifiers: Penn State
KXNCAAMLAXF4-26-PENS
College Lacrosse: Semifinals Qualifiers: Notre Dame
KXNCAAMLAXF4-26-NOT
College Lacrosse: Semifinals Qualifiers: North Carolina
KXNCAAMLAXF4-26-NCT
College Lacrosse: Semifinals Qualifiers: Princeton
KXNCAAMLAXF4-26-PRI
College Lacrosse: Semifinals Qualifiers: Yale
KXNCAAMLAXF4-26-YAL
College Lacrosse: Semifinals Qualifiers: Johns Hopkins
KXNCAAMLAXF4-26-JOH
College Lacrosse: Semifinals Qualifiers: Georgetown
KXNCAAMLAXF4-26-GEO
College Lacrosse: Semifinals Qualifiers: Dartmouth
KXNCAAMLAXF4-26-DAR
College Lacrosse: Semifinals Qualifiers: Cornell
KXNCAAMLAXF4-26-COR
College Lacrosse: Semifinals Qualifiers: Duke
KXNCAAMLAXF4-26-DUK
What moved the line
- May 7Semifinals Qualifiers: North Carolina↑46pp7→53¢ · Kalshi
- May 7Semifinals Qualifiers: Princeton↑40pp20→60¢ · Kalshi
- May 6Semifinals Qualifiers: Penn State↑13pp10→23¢ · Kalshi
- May 7Semifinals Qualifiers: Duke↓10pp23→13¢ · Kalshi
- May 6Semifinals Qualifiers: Cornell↑6pp15→21¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 2 min ago.