New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union - More Markets
Leader sits at 74% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 55%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
9
winner-take-all
Runner-up
55¢
Both Teams to Score
Spread
19pp
contested
24h volume
$2K
modest
Closes
May 9, 2026
0 days
Venue
Polymarket
9 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union - More Markets
New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x64f28a…c4f2
New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xde75e6…f611
New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x136d1e…640c
New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x72e32f…2249
New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x79c8ef…094e
New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union - More Markets: Philadelphia Union (-2.5)
0x4ee37b…65b9
New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union - More Markets: New England Revolution (-2.5)
0x3a7bcd…8184
New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union - More Markets: Philadelphia Union (-1.5)
0x399e50…69ee
New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union - More Markets: New England Revolution (-1.5)
0xf1eff4…975e
What moved the line
- May 7Philadelphia Union (-2.5)↓5pp10→5¢ · Polymarket
- May 7New England Revolution (-2.5)↓4pp10→6¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 3 h ago.