New York City FC vs. Columbus Crew - More Markets
Leader sits at 79% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 60%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
9
winner-take-all
Runner-up
60¢
Both Teams to Score
Spread
19pp
contested
24h volume
$0
thin orderbook
Closes
May 10, 2026
1 days
Venue
Polymarket
9 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
New York City FC vs. Columbus Crew - More Markets
New York City FC vs. Columbus Crew - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xd0fb9c…7f6c
New York City FC vs. Columbus Crew - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x681101…f3e8
New York City FC vs. Columbus Crew - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x4950a7…5b1b
New York City FC vs. Columbus Crew - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x82b3ab…78cb
New York City FC vs. Columbus Crew - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x03fb5b…b032
New York City FC vs. Columbus Crew - More Markets: Columbus Crew (-2.5)
0x89507c…3ad4
New York City FC vs. Columbus Crew - More Markets: New York City FC (-2.5)
0x71a13d…a767
New York City FC vs. Columbus Crew - More Markets: Columbus Crew (-1.5)
0xfbe410…3ed6
New York City FC vs. Columbus Crew - More Markets: New York City FC (-1.5)
0x3c67b1…8f4c
What moved the line
- May 7New York City FC (-2.5)↑5pp9→14¢ · Polymarket
- May 7New York City FC (-1.5)↓4pp22→18¢ · Polymarket
- May 8Columbus Crew (-2.5)↓4pp12→8¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 6 min ago.