SimpleFunctions
Winner-take-all answer·10 source contracts·Kalshi 10·refreshed just now·Closes Jan 1, 2027 · 131d

Who will be the next CEO of FaZe Media, Inc

Leader sits at 6% across 10 bound outcomes, runner-up at 5%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.

Leader probability

6%

Yousef Abdelfattah

runner-up 5¢leader 6¢

Outcomes

10

winner-take-all

Runner-up

Delane Parnell

Spread

1pp

contested

24h volume

$0

thin orderbook

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

131 days

Venue

Kalshi

10 bound

Bracket family

How the bracket ladder is priced.

Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.

Analysis

This 6% probability reflects market expectations that a specific individual will become FaZe Media's next chief executive. FaZe Media's leadership structure and any succession plans would be the primary drivers of this estimate—announcements of departures or transitions would likely increase probabilities for named candidates. Market participants are pricing in relatively low odds for any single individual, suggesting either no clear frontrunner, broad uncertainty about timing, or belief that an outside candidate may ultimately be selected. The main catalyst would be an official announcement of CEO succession or departure, which would immediately resolve uncertainty around this outcome. Current contract prices show clustered low odds across multiple candidates (3–5 cents), indicating distributed expectations rather than consensus on a likely successor.

  • No active CEO transition has been publicly announced; market pricing reflects speculative positioning rather than confirmed events
  • The leading candidate at 6% shows minimal price movement and zero trading volume over 24 hours, suggesting limited new information flow
  • Multiple candidates are priced within 1-2 cents of each other, indicating the market assigns comparable probabilities to several individuals
  • Actual succession outcomes typically depend on board decisions and external hiring that fall outside predictable patterns until formally disclosed
  • The multi-outcome structure distributes probability across at least 10 possible candidates, suggesting no consensus frontrunner in current market assessment

Recently closed in general

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: just now.