SimpleFunctions
Winner-take-all · 12 outcomes12 contractsKalshirefreshed 2 min agoCloses Jan 1, 2027 · 237d

Who will be the next CEO of FaZe Media, Inc

Leader sits at 11% across 12 bound outcomes, runner-up at 11%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.

Leader probability

11%

Thomas Oliveira

runner-up 11¢leader 11¢

Outcomes

12

winner-take-all

Runner-up

11¢

Alexander Pinkevich

Spread

0pp

contested

24h volume

$0

thin orderbook

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

237 days

Venue

Kalshi

12 bound

30-day trend

0%50%100%-30d-3w-2w-1wtodayThomas Oliveira: 11% (5 days, 5 points)Thomas Oliveira: 11% on 2026-05-07Alexander Pinkevich: 11% (5 days, 2 points)Alexander Pinkevich: 11% on 2026-05-07Brian Awadis: 8% (5 days, 3 points)Brian Awadis: 8% on 2026-05-07
Thomas Oliveira11¢Alexander Pinkevich11¢Brian Awadis8¢
Top 3 candidates by current price · 5d

Bracket family

How the bracket ladder is priced.

Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.

Analysis

This 13% probability indicates that traders view Thomas Oliveira as the most likely candidate to become FaZe Media's next CEO, though there remains substantial uncertainty with the runner-up at 10%. The relatively modest frontrunner probability suggests no single candidate has clear consensus backing. Movement in this market would likely depend on FaZe Media's stated succession plans, any public announcements from the company, departures of current leadership, or statements from potential candidates regarding their interest. The primary catalyst would be an official announcement from FaZe Media regarding CEO transitions or the company's strategic direction. Until such formal communication occurs, prices should reflect the limited publicly available information about internal candidate consideration and market participants' varying assessments of each candidate's viability.

  • FaZe Media has not made a public announcement regarding CEO succession or timeline, limiting the information available to traders
  • Thomas Oliveira maintains a 3-point lead over the runner-up, indicating marginal preference rather than strong consensus
  • No scheduled earnings call, investor day, or company event with a known date has been identified that would force resolution
  • The multi-candidate structure (12 bounded contracts) distributes probability across many outcomes, naturally keeping any single outcome's probability lower
  • Trading volume data is unavailable for this specific contract, making it unclear whether the 13% price reflects active trading or thin liquidity

What moved the line

  • May 2Thomas Oliveira8pp2012¢ · Kalshi
  • May 7Christoph Pachler7pp103¢ · Kalshi
  • May 2Brian Awadis3pp1310¢ · Kalshi

Recently closed in general

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

More like this

Adjacent prediction questions.

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 2 min ago.