SimpleFunctions
Winner-take-all · 9 outcomes9 contractsPolymarketrefreshed 6 min agoCloses May 10, 2026 · 1d1pp · 24h

North East United FC vs. Chennaiyin FC - More Markets

Leader sits at 76% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 56%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.

Leader probability

76%

O/U 1.5

runner-up 56¢leader 76¢

Outcomes

9

winner-take-all

Runner-up

56¢

Both Teams to Score

Spread

20pp

contested

24h volume

$3

thin orderbook

Closes

May 10, 2026

1 days

Venue

Polymarket

9 bound

30-day trend

0%50%100%-30d-3w-2w-1wtodayO/U 1.5: 75% (3 days, 2 points)O/U 1.5: 75% on 2026-05-07Both Teams to Score: 53% on 2026-05-06O/U 2.5: 52% (3 days, 3 points)O/U 2.5: 52% on 2026-05-08
O/U 1.575¢Both Teams to Score53¢O/U 2.552¢
Top 3 candidates by current price · 3d

Bracket family

How the bracket ladder is priced.

Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.

Analysis

This market reflects a 75% probability that the North East United FC versus Chennaiyin FC match will produce more than 1.5 total goals. The implied forecast leans toward a higher-scoring game, though the distribution across other contracts (52% at 2.5 goals, 31% at 3.5 goals) suggests meaningful uncertainty about the exact goal count. Current market pricing is driven by recent team form, typical scoring patterns in Indian Super League fixtures, and any relevant player availability or tactical adjustments. The match result will be definitively resolved once the game concludes, eliminating all uncertainty about the final goal total. Low trading volume across contracts indicates limited recent activity, which may reflect the specific nature of these outcomes or timing relative to the match date.

  • North East United FC and Chennaiyin FC's recent goal-scoring and defensive records this season, including average goals per match
  • Current player availability and confirmed team lineups, particularly impacts from injuries or suspensions to key attacking or defensive personnel
  • Historical head-to-head goal totals between these teams and their typical performance in similar competition stages
  • Weather conditions and venue factors on match day that could affect playing style and pace
  • Timing of the match and market liquidity: zero 24-hour volume suggests limited betting activity, meaning the 75% reflects relatively few recent transactions

What moved the line

  • May 7North East United FC (-2.5)13pp2512¢ · Polymarket
  • May 7North East United FC (-1.5)11pp2817¢ · Polymarket
  • May 7Chennaiyin FC (-2.5)10pp2111¢ · Polymarket
  • May 7O/U 1.59pp6675¢ · Polymarket
  • May 7Chennaiyin FC (-1.5)8pp2113¢ · Polymarket

Recently closed in general

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

More like this

Adjacent prediction questions.

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 6 min ago.