Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC - More Markets
Leader sits at 62% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 44%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
9
winner-take-all
Runner-up
44¢
Both Teams to Score
Spread
18pp
contested
24h volume
$17
thin orderbook
Closes
May 4, 2026
0 days
Venue
Polymarket
9 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC - More Markets
Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xd79ae9…8d45
Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x90b83a…48f0
Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC - More Markets: Pharco FC (-1.5)
0x3e7774…d5e0
Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x1940d4…7aa6
Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x218f90…4916
Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC - More Markets: El Mokawloon El Arab SC (-2.5)
0x94b962…3ad3
Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC - More Markets: Pharco FC (-2.5)
0x85c5f5…f158
Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC - More Markets: El Mokawloon El Arab SC (-1.5)
0xec25e2…60ac
Pharco FC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xeef4d7…eca0
Analysis
This market represents traders' current assessment that Pharco FC will win their match against El Mokawloon El Arab SC, with 43% implied probability. The relatively modest probability suggests forecasters view this as a competitive fixture without a strong favorite. The actual winning probability depends heavily on team form, head-to-head history, and whether either side enters the match with injury concerns or recent momentum shifts. The match itself—scheduled for its kickoff date—will definitively resolve this market when final results are recorded. Market depth remains modest based on contract volumes, meaning significant new information or large position entries could shift quoted prices meaningfully.
- ›Recent league standings and goal differential for both teams in current season
- ›Head-to-head historical record between Pharco FC and El Mokawloon El Arab SC, including home/away splits
- ›Current injury roster for key players, especially strikers and defensive starters for each side
- ›Team performance trend over last 5-10 matches versus seasonal average
- ›Home-field advantage effect if match is played at Pharco's venue versus neutral or away location
What moved the line
- May 3El Mokawloon El Arab SC (-2.5)↓5pp9→4¢ · Polymarket
- May 2O/U 4.5↓5pp13→8¢ · Polymarket
- May 2El Mokawloon El Arab SC (-2.5)↓4pp13→9¢ · Polymarket
- May 2Pharco FC (-1.5)↓4pp13→9¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 3 d ago.