SimpleFunctions
ClosedLast odds shown below are frozen at close (May 6, 2026). Future questions tracked on /odds.
15 contractsPolymarketclosed 2 d agoCloses May 5, 2026 · 0d

Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gwangju FC - More Markets

Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 33% across 15 Polymarket contracts.

Implied probability

33%
0%50%100%

Kalshi

not bound

Polymarket

33%

15 contracts

Cross-venue gap

single venue

24h move

no pin

24h volume

$19K

15 contracts

Closes

May 5, 2026

0 days

30-day trend

0%50%100%-30d-3w-2w-1wtodayAggregate: 26% (3 days, 3 points)Aggregate: 26% on 2026-05-03
Aggregate of 15 contracts · 3d

Bracket families

2 clusters across 15 contracts.

These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.

Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters

The top two clusters share only 22% of their title tokens — “Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets” vs “Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gwangju FC - More Markets”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.

Cluster 1

Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets

8 contracts$556

Cluster 2

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gwangju FC - More Markets

7 contracts$18K

What moved the line

  • May 2Pohang Steelers FC (-1.5)23pp3512¢ · Polymarket
  • May 2Gangwon FC (-2.5)15pp3318¢ · Polymarket
  • May 3O/U 4.510pp199¢ · Polymarket
  • May 3Gangwon FC (-2.5)10pp188¢ · Polymarket
  • May 2Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-1.5)7pp3239¢ · Polymarket

Recently closed in general

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

More like this

Adjacent prediction questions.

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 2 d ago.