Will Ungraded Price of the Pokémon SV:151 Charizard ex (199/165 SIR) on Collectr be above $436.47 on May 31, 2026?
Leader sits at 74% across 4 bound outcomes, runner-up at 40%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
151 Booster Pack on Collectr be above $27.59 on May 31, 2026?: Above $27.59
Outcomes
4
winner-take-all
Runner-up
40¢
Above $436.47
Spread
34pp
contested
24h volume
$1K
modest
Closes
Jun 1, 2026
23 days
Venue
Kalshi
4 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Will Ungraded Price of the P
Will Ungraded Price of the Pokémon SV: 151 Booster Pack on Collectr be above $27.59 on May 31, 2026?: Above $27.59
KXPOKEMON-26MAYSV151-27.59
Will Ungraded Price of the Pokémon Mega Gengar ex (284/217 SIR) ASC on Collectr be above $1423.02 on May 31, 2026?: Above $1423.02
KXPOKEMON-26MAYGENGAREX-1423.02
Will Ungraded Price of the Pokémon SV:151 Charizard ex (199/165 SIR) on Collectr be above $436.47 on May 31, 2026?: Above $436.47
KXPOKEMON-26MAYZARDEX-436.47
Will Ungraded Price of the Pikachu ex 276/217 SIR ASC on Collectr be above $1096.72 on May 31, 2026?: Above $1096.72
KXPOKEMON-26MAYPIKAEX-1096.72
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 1 min ago.