Pyramids FC vs. ENPPI - More Markets
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 46% across 4 Polymarket contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
—
not bound
Polymarket
46%
4 contracts
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$748
4 contracts
Closes
May 6, 2026
0 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
4 clusters across 4 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 22% of their title tokens — “Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy - More Markets: Tōkyō Verdy” vs “Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy - More Markets: Tōkyō Verdy
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy - More Markets: Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5)
0x2ae2eb…68c8
Cluster 2
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xd0a2f0…02d4
Cluster 3
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x4612ca…3182
Cluster 4
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x64562d…92f6
Analysis
This probability reflects market expectations that Pyramids FC versus ENPPI will generate additional betting or derivative markets beyond standard match outcomes. The 46% level suggests moderate uncertainty about whether this fixture will attract sufficient interest or liquidity to justify expanded market offerings. The main factors driving the probability are the historical popularity of Egyptian Premier League derbies (Pyramids and ENPPI are both Cairo-based clubs with established fan bases) and the trading volume that typically follows high-profile domestic fixtures. Market depth depends on both the match significance—league standing implications, cup competition status—and the timing of when the fixture is scheduled. The upcoming match date itself serves as the primary resolution event; if the fixture occurs and generates substantial trading activity, additional markets would likely materialize. Conversely, low engagement or fixture postponement would reduce the probability. Current contract volumes on related Chinese Super League matches are minimal, suggesting limited overall interest in expanded markets across Asian football more broadly.
- ›Pyramids FC and ENPPI are both major Cairo clubs; historical derbies typically attract high engagement and may justify secondary markets
- ›Current aggregated probability of 46% reflects genuine uncertainty rather than consensus, with most related contracts showing minimal 24-hour trading volume
- ›The fixture's league importance, cup competition status, and scheduled date will determine whether it generates sufficient interest to trigger additional market creation
- ›Comparable Egyptian football fixtures and international precedent show similar derbies sometimes generate O/U and spread markets, but this is not guaranteed
- ›Market resolution depends on actual fixture occurrence and subsequent trading behavior, not pre-match predictions alone
What moved the line
- May 6Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5)↓20pp26→6¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 1 d ago.