SimpleFunctions
ResolvedFinal: no. Last odds shown below are frozen at close (May 5, 2026). Future questions tracked on /odds.
1 contractKalshiclosed 4 d agoCloses May 22, 2026 · 13d

Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Derby County FC - More Markets

Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 4% across 1 Kalshi contracts.

Implied probability

4%
0%50%100%

Kalshi

4%

1 contract

Polymarket

not bound

Cross-venue gap

single venue

24h move

no pin

24h volume

$0

1 contracts

Closes

May 22, 2026

13 days

30-day trend

0%50%100%-30d-3w-2w-1wtodayAggregate: 5% (3 days, 3 points)Aggregate: 5% on 2026-04-26
Aggregate of 1 contract · 3d

Bracket family

How the bracket ladder is priced.

Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.

Cluster 1

Will Queens Park Rangers be promoted from the EFL Championship in the 2025-26 season

1 contract$0

Recently closed in general

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

Lateral coverage

Thin contract — here's where the deeper coverage is.

This page aggregates 1 contract (4% headline). At low contract count, the price reflects two participants’ opinions, not a market consensus. The links below are heavier related questions where the orderbook signal is real.

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 4 d ago.