SimpleFunctions
Winner-take-all · 9 outcomes9 contractsPolymarketrefreshed 5 min agoCloses May 11, 2026 · 2d12pp · 24h

Randers FC vs. Odense BK - More Markets

Leader sits at 81% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 61%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.

Leader probability

81%

O/U 1.5

runner-up 61¢leader 81¢

Outcomes

9

winner-take-all

Runner-up

61¢

Both Teams to Score

Spread

20pp

contested

24h volume

$0

thin orderbook

Closes

May 11, 2026

2 days

Venue

Polymarket

9 bound

30-day trend

0%50%100%-30d-3w-2w-1wtodayBoth Teams to Score: 67% on 2026-05-07O/U 3.5: 37% (2 days, 2 points)O/U 3.5: 37% on 2026-05-08Randers FC (-1.5): 19% (2 days, 2 points)Randers FC (-1.5): 19% on 2026-05-08
Both Teams to Score67¢O/U 3.537¢Randers FC (-1.5)19¢
Top 3 candidates by current price · 2d

Bracket family

How the bracket ladder is priced.

Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.

Analysis

This market is pricing a 69% probability that both Randers FC and Odense BK will score goals in their upcoming match. The outcome reflects expectations about each team's offensive capability and defensive vulnerability. Factors driving this probability include the teams' recent goal-scoring form, defensive records, and playing style. The match result will directly resolve this contract, making the actual game the primary catalyst for determining whether both teams find the net. Low trading volume across all contracts suggests limited recent interest in establishing new positions, though the spread between the leading contract (69¢) and runner-ups (13-17¢) indicates moderate market confidence in the both-teams-to-score outcome relative to other scenarios.

  • Randers FC's recent goal-scoring rate and defensive structure relative to Odense BK's attack, which would affect probability of conceding
  • Odense BK's offensive output in recent matches and Randers FC's defensive performance, determining likelihood of scoring
  • Any team injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff that could alter scoring capacity
  • The match venue and weather conditions closer to game day, which influence playing style and goal probability
  • Historical head-to-head both-teams-to-score frequency between these clubs in previous encounters

Recently closed in general

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

More like this

Adjacent prediction questions.

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 5 min ago.