Renofa Yamaguchi FC vs. Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Leader sits at 47% across 3 bound outcomes, runner-up at 27%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Outcomes
3
winner-take-all
Runner-up
27¢
Draw (Renofa Yamaguchi FC vs
Spread
20pp
contested
24h volume
$282
thin orderbook
Closes
May 9, 2026
0 days
Venue
Polymarket
3 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Renofa Yamaguchi FC vs. Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Renofa Yamaguchi FC vs. Tegevajaro Miyazaki: Draw (Renofa Yamaguchi FC vs. Tegevajaro Miyazaki)
0x93c9bf…5e13
Renofa Yamaguchi FC vs. Tegevajaro Miyazaki: Renofa Yamaguchi FC
0x349b2d…58a3
Renofa Yamaguchi FC vs. Tegevajaro Miyazaki: Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0x4966b9…3013
What moved the line
- May 8Renofa Yamaguchi FC↓10pp32→22¢ · Polymarket
- May 7Renofa Yamaguchi FC↓9pp41→32¢ · Polymarket
- May 8Draw (Renofa Yamaguchi FC vs. Tegevajaro Miyazaki)↑6pp34→40¢ · Polymarket
- May 7Tegevajaro Miyazaki↑6pp35→41¢ · Polymarket
- May 8Tegevajaro Miyazaki↑4pp41→45¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
- What will Donald Trump say during CNBClast 95% · 1d
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: D Senate, R Houselast 3% · 1d
- Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Aug 2026last 85% · 1d
- What will any participating candidate say during South Carolina GOP gubernatorial debatenolast 7% · 1d
- FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC - More Marketslast 74% · 2d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 3 h ago.