Renofa Yamaguchi FC vs. Tegevajaro Miyazaki - More Markets
Leader sits at 71% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 45%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
9
winner-take-all
Runner-up
45¢
O/U 2.5
Spread
26pp
contested
24h volume
$95
thin orderbook
Closes
May 9, 2026
0 days
Venue
Polymarket
9 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Renofa Yamaguchi FC vs. Tegevajaro Miyazaki - More Markets
Renofa Yamaguchi FC vs. Tegevajaro Miyazaki - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xeba715…4b3b
Renofa Yamaguchi FC vs. Tegevajaro Miyazaki - More Markets: Renofa Yamaguchi FC (-2.5)
0x51c940…667c
Renofa Yamaguchi FC vs. Tegevajaro Miyazaki - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xe6de57…1be0
Renofa Yamaguchi FC vs. Tegevajaro Miyazaki - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xca7748…67e5
Renofa Yamaguchi FC vs. Tegevajaro Miyazaki - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xdfc331…03f8
Renofa Yamaguchi FC vs. Tegevajaro Miyazaki - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x3b5961…615b
Renofa Yamaguchi FC vs. Tegevajaro Miyazaki - More Markets: Tegevajaro Miyazaki (-2.5)
0xf9adef…1257
Renofa Yamaguchi FC vs. Tegevajaro Miyazaki - More Markets: Tegevajaro Miyazaki (-1.5)
0x6a660c…04b6
Renofa Yamaguchi FC vs. Tegevajaro Miyazaki - More Markets: Renofa Yamaguchi FC (-1.5)
0x9063e6…51ab
What moved the line
- May 7O/U 4.5↓12pp24→12¢ · Polymarket
- May 7O/U 3.5↑6pp31→37¢ · Polymarket
- May 8Renofa Yamaguchi FC (-1.5)↓5pp30→25¢ · Polymarket
- May 8Tegevajaro Miyazaki (-2.5)↑4pp29→33¢ · Polymarket
- May 8Renofa Yamaguchi FC (-2.5)↓3pp24→21¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 3 h ago.