Will Roku Inc. report Above 39 billion hours streamed in Q1 2026
Leader sits at 17% across 2 bound outcomes, runner-up at 4%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Above $220 billion
Outcomes
2
winner-take-all
Runner-up
4¢
Above $270 billion
Spread
13pp
contested
24h volume
$6K
modest
Closes
Jul 31, 2026
83 days
Venue
Kalshi
2 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Will Coinbase Global Inc. report Above $2
Will Coinbase Global Inc. report Above $220 billion total trading volume in Q1 2026?: Above $220 billion
KXCOINBASE-26MAYVOL-220000000000
Will Coinbase Global Inc. report Above $270 billion total trading volume in Q1 2026?: Above $270 billion
KXCOINBASE-26MAYVOL-270000000000
What moved the line
- May 7Above $220 billion↑16pp6→22¢ · Kalshi
- May 6Above $220 billion↑3pp3→6¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
Lateral coverage
Thin contract — here's where the deeper coverage is.
This page aggregates 2 contracts (17% headline). At low contract count, the price reflects two participants’ opinions, not a market consensus. The links below are heavier related questions where the orderbook signal is real.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 1 d ago.