Will Playboi Carti be a Headliner at Rolling Loud Miami 2026
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 3% across 2 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
3%
2 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$11
2 contracts
Closes
Dec 31, 2027
601 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
2 clusters across 2 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Will Playboi Carti be a Headliner at Rolling Loud Miami 2026
Will Playboi Carti be a Headliner at Rolling Loud Miami 2026?: Playboi Carti
KXROLEATEVENTROLLING-27DEC31-PLA
Cluster 2
Will Lil Baby be a Headliner at Rolling Loud Miami 2026
Will Lil Baby be a Headliner at Rolling Loud Miami 2026?: Lil Baby
KXROLEATEVENTROLLING-27DEC31-BAB
Analysis
This contract asks whether Playboi Carti will be announced as a headliner for Rolling Loud Miami 2026, an annual hip-hop festival typically held in May. The 3% probability reflects skepticism about his inclusion at that tier. Rolling Loud Miami's headliner lineup is typically announced 2-4 weeks before the festival date. Key factors include his recent touring activity and release schedule, his historical relationship with the festival (previous appearances and roles), broader festival booking trends for 2026, and competition from other major artists for headline slots. The probability could shift significantly once the official lineup announcement occurs, which would provide definitive resolution. Market participants appear to be pricing in that festival organizers are more likely to position other artists in the headliner category this year.
- ›Rolling Loud Miami 2026 official headliner announcement date and lineup composition
- ›Playboi Carti's touring schedule and availability in May 2026
- ›His historical precedent at Rolling Loud Miami (whether he has previously headlined or held secondary billing)
- ›Broader 2026 hip-hop release and touring cycles that determine which artists are actively promoted
- ›Typical headliner count and artist selection patterns for Rolling Loud Miami events
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
Lateral coverage
Thin contract — here's where the deeper coverage is.
This page aggregates 2 contracts (3% headline). At low contract count, the price reflects two participants’ opinions, not a market consensus. The links below are heavier related questions where the orderbook signal is real.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 1 min ago.