SimpleFunctions
9 contractsKalshirefreshed 2 min agoCloses Oct 7, 2027 · 516d

Jim Furyk to be the U.S. Team Captain at 2027 Ryder Cup

Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 36% across 9 Kalshi contracts.

Implied probability

36%
0%50%100%

Kalshi

36%

9 contracts

Polymarket

not bound

Cross-venue gap

single venue

24h move

no pin

24h volume

$0

9 contracts

Closes

Oct 7, 2027

516 days

30-day trend

0%50%100%-30d-3w-2w-1wtodayAggregate: 94% (25 days, 25 points)Aggregate: 94% on 2026-05-07
Aggregate of 9 contracts · 25d

Bracket families

9 clusters across 9 contracts.

These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.

Cluster 1

Keegan Bradley to be the U.S. Team Captain at 2027 Ryder Cup: Keegan Bradley

1 contract$0

Cluster 2

Webb Simpson to be the U.S. Team Captain at 2027 Ryder Cup: Webb Simpson

1 contract$0

Cluster 3

Brandt Snedeker to be the U.S. Team Captain at 2027 Ryder Cup: Brandt Snedeker

1 contract$0

Cluster 4

Jim Furyk to be the U.S. Team Captain at 2027 Ryder Cup: Jim Furyk

1 contract$0

Cluster 5

Tiger Woods to be the U.S. Team Captain at 2027 Ryder Cup: Tiger Woods

1 contract$0

Cluster 6

Steve Stricker to be the U.S. Team Captain at 2027 Ryder Cup: Steve Stricker

1 contract$0

Cluster 7

Kevin Kisner to be the U.S. Team Captain at 2027 Ryder Cup: Kevin Kisner

1 contract$0

Cluster 8

Corey Pavin to be the U.S. Team Captain at 2027 Ryder Cup: Corey Pavin

1 contract$0

Cluster 9

Luke Donald to be the Europe Team Captain at 2027 Ryder Cup: Luke Donald

1 contract$0

Analysis

This contract estimates a 36% chance that Jim Furyk will serve as U.S. Team Captain for the 2027 Ryder Cup, scheduled for September 2027. The probability reflects uncertainty about the PGA of America's selection process, which typically occurs 1-2 years before the event. Key factors include Furyk's eligibility and captaincy experience, competition from other potential candidates with strong resumes, and the PGA's stated criteria for captain selection. The main catalyst will be the official announcement of the captain selection, likely occurring in late 2026 or early 2027. Until then, the probability depends on assessments of Furyk's standing relative to alternative candidates, his recent performance record, and any public statements from PGA leadership about their selection timeline and preferences.

  • Jim Furyk's Ryder Cup captaincy experience and win-loss record compared to competing candidates
  • Timing of the official U.S. captain announcement, expected in late 2026 or early 2027
  • PGA of America's publicly stated selection criteria and any recent statements favoring or disfavoring specific candidates
  • Furyk's current standing in professional golf circles and any recent controversies or roster decisions that might affect PGA preference
  • Number and caliber of alternative candidates under serious consideration for the captaincy

Recently closed in general

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

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