Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Fredrikstad FK - More Markets
Leader sits at 82% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 63%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
9
winner-take-all
Runner-up
63¢
Both Teams to Score
Spread
19pp
contested
24h volume
$251
thin orderbook
Closes
May 9, 2026
0 days
Venue
Polymarket
9 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Fredrikstad FK - More Markets
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Fredrikstad FK - More Markets: Fredrikstad FK (-1.5)
0x78469f…f69e
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Fredrikstad FK - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x2349d8…0d2d
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Fredrikstad FK - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x11597c…4c84
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Fredrikstad FK - More Markets: Fredrikstad FK (-2.5)
0x61dc91…8c51
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Fredrikstad FK - More Markets: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-2.5)
0x8b010b…eb87
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Fredrikstad FK - More Markets: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-1.5)
0x0e27a2…98b1
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Fredrikstad FK - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x2b781a…5420
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Fredrikstad FK - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xc7a4f9…3516
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Fredrikstad FK - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xf5fe09…dd81
What moved the line
- May 7Fredrikstad FK (-2.5)↓5pp12→7¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 3 h ago.