Al-Hazm wins by over 2.5 goals
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 15% across 13 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
15%
13 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$2
13 contracts
Closes
May 24, 2026
16 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
9 clusters across 13 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Al Qadsiah wins by over
Cluster 2
Al Ahli Saudi wins by over
Cluster 3
Al-Ittihad wins by over
Cluster 4
Al-Riyadh wins by over
Cluster 5
Al-Taawoun wins by over 1.5 goals
Al-Taawoun wins by over 1.5 goals?: Al-Taawoun wins by over 1.5 goals
KXSAUDIPLSPREAD-26MAY11ALTAAS-ALT1
Cluster 6
AL Suqoor wins by over 1.5 goals
AL Suqoor wins by over 1.5 goals?: AL Suqoor wins by over 1.5 goals
KXSAUDIPLSPREAD-26MAY11NEOSHA-NEO1
Cluster 7
Al-Shabab wins by over 1.5 goals
Al-Shabab wins by over 1.5 goals?: Al-Shabab wins by over 1.5 goals
KXSAUDIPLSPREAD-26MAY11NEOSHA-SHA1
Cluster 8
Al-Fateh wins by over 1.5 goals
Al-Fateh wins by over 1.5 goals?: Al-Fateh wins by over 1.5 goals
KXSAUDIPLSPREAD-26MAY10RIYFAT-FAT1
Cluster 9
Al-Fayha wins by over 1.5 goals
Al-Fayha wins by over 1.5 goals?: Al-Fayha wins by over 1.5 goals
KXSAUDIPLSPREAD-26MAY09FAYQAD-FAY1
Recently closed in general
- What will Donald Trump say during CNBClast 95% · 1d
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: D Senate, R Houselast 3% · 1d
- Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Aug 2026last 85% · 1d
- What will any participating candidate say during South Carolina GOP gubernatorial debatenolast 7% · 1d
- FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC - More Marketslast 74% · 2d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 2 min ago.