Seattle Reign FC vs. Utah Royals FC
Leader sits at 65% across 12 bound outcomes, runner-up at 54%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
12
winner-take-all
Runner-up
54¢
Both Teams to Score
Spread
11pp
contested
24h volume
$2K
modest
Closes
May 7, 2026
0 days
Venue
Polymarket
12 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Utah Royals FC vs. Houston Dash
Utah Royals FC vs. Houston Dash: Utah Royals FC
0x36ed0b…5624
Utah Royals FC vs. Houston Dash: Houston Dash
0x2b093a…f9df
Utah Royals FC vs. Houston Dash: Draw (Utah Royals FC vs. Houston Dash)
0x04af29…de3e
Utah Royals FC vs. Houston Dash - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x5ccc92…b5d5
Utah Royals FC vs. Houston Dash - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x2113bb…91c8
Utah Royals FC vs. Houston Dash - More Markets: Utah Royals FC (-1.5)
0x920c44…2e0b
Utah Royals FC vs. Houston Dash - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x64e235…d0d8
Utah Royals FC vs. Houston Dash - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0xb3384b…c235
Utah Royals FC vs. Houston Dash - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x7cba40…e09c
Utah Royals FC vs. Houston Dash - More Markets: Houston Dash (-1.5)
0x048577…0f9a
Utah Royals FC vs. Houston Dash - More Markets: Houston Dash (-2.5)
0xc75506…5e09
Utah Royals FC vs. Houston Dash - More Markets: Utah Royals FC (-2.5)
0x480bda…7034
What moved the line
- May 7Utah Royals FC↑26pp43→69¢ · Polymarket
- May 7O/U 4.5↑18pp24→42¢ · Polymarket
- May 7Utah Royals FC (-1.5)↑15pp30→45¢ · Polymarket
- May 7Houston Dash↓14pp30→16¢ · Polymarket
- May 6Houston Dash (-2.5)↓14pp38→24¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 2 d ago.