Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
Leader sits at 82% across 4 bound outcomes, runner-up at 59%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
4
winner-take-all
Runner-up
59¢
O/U 2.5
Spread
23pp
contested
24h volume
$13
thin orderbook
Closes
May 10, 2026
1 days
Venue
Polymarket
4 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC - More Markets: O/U
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x2bb055…fb86
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x6a2942…e070
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xe3425b…3435
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xe75280…4015
What moved the line
- May 7O/U 1.5↑6pp75→81¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in general
- What will Donald Trump say during CNBClast 95% · 1d
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms: D Senate, R Houselast 3% · 1d
- Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Aug 2026last 85% · 1d
- What will any participating candidate say during South Carolina GOP gubernatorial debatenolast 7% · 1d
- FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC - More Marketslast 74% · 2d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Adjacent prediction questions.
In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 6 min ago.