Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Avispa Fukuoka - More Markets
Leader sits at 68% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 47%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
9
winner-take-all
Runner-up
47¢
Both Teams to Score
Spread
21pp
contested
24h volume
$38
thin orderbook
Closes
May 10, 2026
1 days
Venue
Polymarket
9 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Avispa Fukuoka - More Markets
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Avispa Fukuoka - More Markets: Avispa Fukuoka (-2.5)
0x3ba8cc…3066
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Avispa Fukuoka - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x98e0f1…48c4
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Avispa Fukuoka - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0xc56768…6d97
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Avispa Fukuoka - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x09750a…5bd8
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Avispa Fukuoka - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x9503fc…2476
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Avispa Fukuoka - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x521f5c…dcdb
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Avispa Fukuoka - More Markets: Shimizu S-Pulse (-2.5)
0xa9683a…2a9c
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Avispa Fukuoka - More Markets: Avispa Fukuoka (-1.5)
0x1fc1e2…4c08
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Avispa Fukuoka - More Markets: Shimizu S-Pulse (-1.5)
0x5f88bc…863a
What moved the line
- May 7O/U 4.5↓14pp22→8¢ · Polymarket
- May 7Avispa Fukuoka (-1.5)↓9pp21→12¢ · Polymarket
- May 7Shimizu S-Pulse (-2.5)↓7pp20→13¢ · Polymarket
- May 7Avispa Fukuoka (-2.5)↓5pp15→10¢ · Polymarket
- May 7Shimizu S-Pulse (-1.5)↓4pp22→18¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 5 min ago.