Shōnan Bellmāre vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets
Leader sits at 72% across 9 bound outcomes, runner-up at 53%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
9
winner-take-all
Runner-up
53¢
Both Teams to Score
Spread
19pp
contested
24h volume
$0
thin orderbook
Closes
May 10, 2026
1 days
Venue
Polymarket
9 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Shōnan Bellmāre vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets
Shōnan Bellmāre vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: Shōnan Bellmāre (-1.5)
0xe644a0…c56c
Shōnan Bellmāre vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x1a22a6…253e
Shōnan Bellmāre vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0x6af808…5807
Shōnan Bellmāre vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0x5df92a…0966
Shōnan Bellmāre vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0xd03187…1bf7
Shōnan Bellmāre vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x7aea10…83cc
Shōnan Bellmāre vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: Yokohama FC (-2.5)
0x51dcf9…db31
Shōnan Bellmāre vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: Shōnan Bellmāre (-2.5)
0xe719d3…1afa
Shōnan Bellmāre vs. Yokohama FC - More Markets: Yokohama FC (-1.5)
0x5ec331…58f0
Analysis
This market reflects a 47% probability that both Shōnan Bellmāre and Yokohama FC will score goals in their upcoming match. The current price suggests roughly even odds favoring a multi-goal outcome, with limited recent trading volume indicating sparse market participation. Movement in this probability would likely depend on team form, injury status, and defensive capabilities heading into the fixture. The match result and final scoreline will definitively resolve this contract when the game concludes. Key considerations include each team's recent goal-scoring consistency, defensive record over the current season, head-to-head scoring patterns in past meetings, and any late roster changes or suspensions announced before kickoff.
- ›Shōnan Bellmāre's average goals-per-game and goals-against-per-game over the last 8-10 J-League matches
- ›Yokohama FC's defensive performance and scoring output in recent fixtures
- ›Historical both-teams-to-score frequency in previous Shōnan vs. Yokohama matchups
- ›Confirmed team absences, injuries to key forwards or defenders announced before the match
- ›Weather conditions or pitch surface at the venue on match day
What moved the line
- May 8Shōnan Bellmāre (-2.5)↑5pp26→31¢ · Polymarket
- May 8Yokohama FC (-2.5)↑5pp27→32¢ · Polymarket
- May 8Shōnan Bellmāre (-1.5)↑3pp32→35¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 6 min ago.